In a matchup with nothing but pride at stake, the free-falling Phoenix Suns (35-45) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (33-47) to Footprint Center on Friday night, with both teams looking to salvage something from disappointing seasons.
The Spurs enter with unexpected momentum after Harrison Barnes' buzzer-beater stunned the Warriors, while Phoenix limps in on an eight-game skid having just been officially eliminated from playoff contention.
With Kevin Durant likely sidelined again and rookie sensation Stephon Castle averaging 19.2 points in April, Friday's clash between the home team Suns and away team Spurs could come down to which disappointing squad simply wants it more.
Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 57.5% chance of defeating the Suns.
San Antonio Spurs: 57.5% win probability
- Better recent form with a 'WLLLW' record compared to Suns' 'LLLLL' five-game losing streak
- Slightly higher win total this season (33 wins vs 35 for the Suns)
- More efficient defense allowing 9333 points compared to Suns' 9356 points against
Phoenix Suns: 42.5% win probability
- Poor current form with five consecutive losses (LLLLL)
- Struggling defense having allowed 9356 points (11th worst in the Western Conference)
- Underperforming offense scoring 9102 points despite talent on roster (9th in Western Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs odds
Here are the current odds for the NBA matchup between the San Antonio Spurs visiting the Phoenix Suns at home on Friday, April 11.
| Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -178 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | +160 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
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Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs preview
Friday's clash between the free-falling Phoenix Suns and rebuilding San Antonio Spurs at Footprint Center has nothing but pride on the line after both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Spurs enter with a slight psychological edge, coming off a stunning 114-111 buzzer-beating victory over Golden State, while the Suns have dropped eight straight and haven't covered the spread in nine consecutive games.
Rookie sensation Stephon Castle has been lighting it up for San Antonio, averaging 19.2 points in April and making a compelling case as the runaway favorite for Rookie of the Year.
Bradley Beal led Phoenix with 25 points in their recent loss to OKC, but the Suns' defense has been downright terrible all season, allowing a staggering 128.4 points per 100 possessions over their last 10 games.
Kevin Durant's continued absence with an ankle injury leaves a massive scoring void for Phoenix, and Nick Richards potentially remaining sidelined further weakens an already thin Suns frontcourt.
This matchup will decide the winner of their three-game regular-season series, with each team having protected home court so far – Phoenix won 104-93 in December, while San Antonio responded with a 120-109 victory in February.
With nothing to play for except momentum heading into next season, expect both teams to let loose offensively – the Spurs ranking eighth in the NBA in three-point rate (.442) and the Suns right behind (.438).
If you're tuning in Friday night, you'll likely catch a high-scoring affair with minimal defense, perfect for those who enjoy seeing young talent like Castle showcase their skills without the pressure of playoff implications.
Key stats
- 1Both teams are struggling in the Western Conference with Phoenix Suns in 11th (35-45) and San Antonio Spurs in 13th (33-47)
- 2Phoenix Suns have lost 5 straight games (LLLLL) while San Antonio has a slightly better recent form (WLLLW)
- 3Phoenix Suns have a slightly better scoring offense (9102 points) compared to San Antonio (9119) this season
- 4San Antonio has a worse defensive record allowing 9333 points compared to Phoenix's 9356, just a 23-point difference
Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs form
Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head
Phoenix Suns
17%
San Antonio Spurs
83%
Feb 21, 2025
San Antonio Spurs
120 : 109
Phoenix Suns
Dec 4, 2024
Phoenix Suns
104 : 93
San Antonio Spurs
Mar 26, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
104 : 102
Phoenix Suns
Mar 24, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
106 : 131
Phoenix Suns
Nov 3, 2023
Phoenix Suns
121 : 132
San Antonio Spurs
Nov 1, 2023
Phoenix Suns
114 : 115
San Antonio Spurs
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