The American Airlines Center will heat up this Saturday as the Dallas Stars, fresh off a surprising 6-5 defeat to the Canucks, look to bounce back against a Utah Hockey Club riding high from their dominant 7-1 victory over the Kraken.
While Dallas boasts an impressive 50-22-6 record and better overall stats, Utah's potent power play (converting at 22.97%) could prove troublesome for the Stars' penalty kill unit.
The goaltending matchup between Utah's Karel Vejmelka and Dallas' Casey DeSmith might ultimately determine whether the Stars capitalize on their home-ice advantage or if Utah steals one in this intriguing Dallas Stars vs Utah showdown.
Dallas Stars vs. Utah prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Utah matchup, our predictive model gives the Utah a 57% chance of defeating the Stars.
Utah: 57% win probability
- Recent form shows improvement with a 3-2 record in last 5 games (LWWLW)
- Offensive efficiency with 228 goals scored in 79 games (2.89 goals per game)
- Strong defensive structure limiting opponents to 239 goals against in 79 games (3.03 goals per game)
Dallas Stars: 43% win probability
- Poor recent form with only 1 win in last 5 games (LLLLW)
- Defensive inconsistency allowing 208 goals against despite high standing
- Struggling with momentum as they've lost 4 of their last 5 games despite being 2nd in conference
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Dallas Stars vs. Utah odds
Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between Utah and the home team Dallas Stars on Saturday, April 12.
Dallas Stars | Utah | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -182 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | +158 (via Caesars Sportsbook) |
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Dallas Stars vs. Utah preview
The Dallas Stars host the Utah Hockey Club at American Airlines Center this Saturday in what promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams on different trajectories.
Dallas enters as clear favorites with home-ice advantage and an impressive 50-22-6 record, while Utah (36-30-12) looks to build on their confidence-boosting 7-1 demolition of the Kraken.
Utah's special teams could be the x-factor here—they converted 3 power play goals in their last outing and boast a solid 22.97% success rate with the man advantage this season.
Karel Vejmelka likely gets the nod in net for Utah, though his career .900 save percentage will be tested against Dallas's potent offense that's netted 267 goals this campaign.
On the other side, Casey DeSmith brings a more reliable .910 save percentage to the Stars' crease, giving Dallas a slight edge in the goaltending department.
The Stars, despite dropping their last game 6-5 to Vancouver, have demonstrated offensive firepower with three power play conversions in that contest.
Look for special teams to be crucial in this one—Dallas holds the 7th best power play in the league while Utah's opponents have racked up the 3rd most power play attempts in professional hockey.
With Dallas holding serve at home and Utah coming off that confidence-building blowout win, this Saturday night showdown should deliver plenty of excitement for hockey fans tuning in.
Key stats
- 1Dallas Stars (2nd in Western Conference) have 106 points from 79 games while Utah sits 11th with 85 points
- 2Dallas has a significantly better goal difference (+61) compared to Utah's negative differential (-11)
- 3Dallas shows concerning form with 'LLLLW' in recent matches while Utah shows mixed results with 'LWWLW'
- 4Dallas has scored 269 goals this season (3.4 goals per game) while Utah has managed only 228 goals (2.9 goals per game)
Dallas Stars vs. Utah form


Dallas Stars vs. Utah head to head
Dallas Stars
50%
Utah
0%
Jan 5, 2025
Dallas Stars
3 : 2
Utah
Dec 24, 2024
Utah
2 : 3
Dallas Stars
Dec 3, 2024
Utah
1 : 2
Dallas Stars
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