Struggling Toronto FC, winless and sitting in the penultimate place in the MLS standings, face an uphill battle as they host Minnesota United who enter BMO Field riding a six-game unbeaten streak with four wins and two draws.
History suggests a potential goalfest, with their last meeting at this venue producing a thrilling 4-3 scoreline, while both sides have been finding the net regularly—Minnesota scoring in six straight matches while Toronto has shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in five of their last six outings.
The contrast couldn't be starker heading into Saturday's clash: Toronto vs Minnesota United represents a desperate home team seeking to jumpstart their season against visitors who've built serious momentum with consecutive victories over Real Salt Lake and NYCFC.
Toronto vs. Minnesota United prediction: who will win?
For today's Toronto vs Minnesota United matchup, our predictive model gives the Minnesota United a 70% chance of defeating the Toronto.
Minnesota United: 70% win probability
- Superior attacking potential (based on Toronto's weak defensive record with 13 goals conceded)
- Momentum advantage (Toronto's recent form shows DDLLL with no wins in 7 games)
- Road victory potential (Toronto sitting at bottom of standings with just 3 points from 7 matches)
Toronto: 30% win probability
- Inability to secure victories (0 wins in 7 matches played)
- Poor defensive record (13 goals conceded in 7 matches)
- Lack of attacking threat (only 7 goals scored in 7 matches)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
Toronto vs. Minnesota United odds
Here are the latest odds for the MLS matchup between the home team Toronto and Minnesota United, set to take place on Saturday, April 12.
| Toronto | Minnesota United | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +188 (via bet365 US) | +140 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | 250 ( via Caesars Sportsbook) |
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Toronto vs. Minnesota United preview
Winless Toronto FC face a daunting challenge this Saturday as they host Minnesota United, who arrive at BMO Field riding an impressive unbeaten streak highlighted by back-to-back victories over Real Salt Lake and New York City FC.
The struggling Reds, currently wallowing near the bottom of the table, desperately need to turn their season around but will have to do so without midfielder Richie Laryea, whose muscle injury keeps him sidelined.
Minnesota's attack has been clicking lately, finding the net in six straight matches while accumulating 11 goals during that stretch - a concerning stat for a Toronto defense that's conceded in five of their last six outings.
Last time these clubs faced off at BMO Field, fans were treated to an absolute thriller with Toronto edging Minnesota 4-3, suggesting we might be in for another goal-fest.
Keep an eye on Minnesota captain Wil Trapp, who netted against NYCFC last time out and continues to be the engine room for the visitors' midfield.
Toronto's Federico Bernardeschi, who scored in their recent draw against Inter Miami, remains their best hope for offensive creativity against the disciplined Loons.
Despite Toronto's home advantage, Minnesota's superior form makes them slight favorites, though the hosts have shown they can rise to the occasion in this fixture.
I'm expecting another closely-fought battle with goals at both ends - this one could genuinely go either way but don't be surprised if Minnesota's momentum carries them to a narrow victory.
Key stats
- 1Toronto is winless in their 7 matches this season (0W-3D-4L)
- 2Toronto sits 14th in the standings with just 3 points from 7 games
- 3Toronto has scored 7 goals while conceding 13, giving them a -6 goal difference
- 4Toronto's recent form shows three consecutive losses (DDLLL)
Toronto vs. Minnesota United form
Toronto vs. Minnesota United head to head
Toronto
40%
Minnesota United
20%
Jun 4, 2023
Minnesota United
1 : 1
Toronto
Apr 20, 2019
Toronto
4 : 3
Minnesota United
Jul 4, 2018
Minnesota United
4 : 3
Toronto
May 13, 2017
Toronto
3 : 2
Minnesota United
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