As the NBA regular season wraps up Sunday afternoon, the Miami Heat welcome the Washington Wizards to Kaseya Center in what amounts to a glorified exhibition with the Heat locked into the 10th seed and the Wizards cemented at the bottom of the league standings.

Both squads are likely to rest key players—Miami preparing for their upcoming play-in tournament clash with Chicago while Washington's depleted roster continues to provide opportunities for young talents like Justin Champagnie and Bub Carrington to shine.

Despite their recent hot streak of eight wins in eleven games, don't expect much intensity from the Heat as their focus shifts beyond this final, forgettable contest between the playoff-bound Miami Heat and the lottery-bound Washington Wizards.

Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards prediction: who will win?

For today's Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards matchup, our predictive model gives the Heat a 64% chance of defeating the Wizards.

Miami Heat: 64% win probability

  • Superior win-loss record (37-44 compared to Washington's 17-64)
  • Better scoring defense (Miami allows 8904 points compared to Washington's 9758)
  • Stronger recent form (Miami's WLWLL vs Washington's LLLLL)

Washington Wizards: 36% win probability

  • Poor overall record (tied for worst in the NBA at 17-64)
  • League-worst defense (9758 points allowed is the highest in the Eastern Conference)
  • Terrible recent form (on a five-game losing streak)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown as the Miami Heat host the Washington Wizards on Sunday, April 13.

Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Moneyline-400 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)+350 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards preview

The Miami Heat and Washington Wizards clash in a season finale that means everything to neither team yet offers plenty for basketball purists to appreciate.

Miami, locked into the 10th seed with their eyes already fixed on the play-in tournament against Chicago, comes off a ridiculous 153-point offensive explosion against the Magic where they had ten players hit double figures.

Meanwhile, the Wizards stumble into town riding a five-game losing streak, their 17-64 record cementing their position at the NBA's basement and practically guaranteeing them prime lottery odds.

With both squads likely to rest key contributors – don't expect to see Adebayo, Herro, or Love for Miami, nor Poole, Holmes, or Middleton for Washington – this becomes a showcase for bench players hungry to make final impressions.

The Heat have dominated this matchup on their home court, winning their last eight games against the Wizards at Kaseya Center, though Sunday's contest might lack the defensive intensity that typically defines Miami basketball.

Keep an eye on Justin Champagnie, who posted an impressive 22-point, 14-rebound performance in Washington's recent loss to Chicago, and Duncan Robinson, who dropped 21 points off Miami's bench on Friday.

What this game lacks in playoff implications, it makes up for in opportunities for young talents and roster-bubble players to shine before the real season begins for Miami and the long offseason starts for Washington.

I'm expecting a surprisingly competitive affair that might stay closer than the 9.5-point spread suggests, especially if Heat coach Erik Spoelstra pulls his rotation players early to keep them fresh for the challenges ahead.

Key stats

  • 1
    Miami Heat sits in 10th position in the Eastern Conference with 37 wins and 44 losses after 81 games played
  • 2
    Washington Wizards is at the bottom (15th) of the Eastern Conference with only 17 wins and 64 losses
  • 3
    Heat has a positive point differential (+47) while Wizards has the worst in the East (-1021)
  • 4
    The Wizards are on a terrible form with 5 straight losses (LLLLL) while Miami has been inconsistent (WLWLL)

Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards form

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Apr 12, 2025
New Orleans Hornets104:153Miami Heat
Apr 10, 2025
Chicago Bulls119:111Miami Heat
Apr 7, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers105:117Miami Heat
Apr 6, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks121:115Miami Heat
Apr 3, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies110:108Miami Heat
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
L
Victories
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
5/5 (100%)
Apr 12, 2025
Chicago Bulls119:89Washington Wizards
Apr 9, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers122:103Washington Wizards
Apr 8, 2025
Indiana Pacers104:98Washington Wizards
Apr 6, 2025
Boston Celtics124:90Washington Wizards
Apr 3, 2025
Orlando Magic109:97Washington Wizards

Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards head to head

Miami Heat

20%

Washington Wizards

80%

Apr 13, 2025

Miami Heat

0 : 0

Washington Wizards

Mar 31, 2025

Washington Wizards

94 : 120

Miami Heat

Mar 4, 2025

Miami Heat

106 : 90

Washington Wizards

Nov 3, 2024

Washington Wizards

98 : 118

Miami Heat

Mar 31, 2024

Washington Wizards

107 : 119

Miami Heat

Mar 10, 2024

Miami Heat

108 : 110

Washington Wizards

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