With home-court advantage in the play-in tournament at stake, the Sacramento Kings host a Phoenix Suns squad that's limping to the finish line of what's been a disastrous season for a team that once had championship aspirations.

The Kings, needing this win to secure the ninth seed, will rely on their seventh-ranked offense led by Zach LaVine's hot hand to counter their league-worst three-point defense, while the Suns—playing without stars Kevin Durant and Devin Booker—have little left to fight for beyond pride after dropping eight of their last nine games.

All eyes will be on whether the Kings can finally lock up their postseason positioning or if the Suns can play spoiler when the Sacramento Kings face off against the Phoenix Suns in what promises to be a desperate battle for one team and a mere formality for the other.

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 71.75% chance of defeating the Suns.

Sacramento Kings: 71.75% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (9381 points scored this season)
  • Better recent form (LLWWW showing momentum in the last five games)
  • Higher league position (9th place compared to Phoenix's 11th in Western Conference)

Phoenix Suns: 28.25% win probability

  • Poor recent form (WLLLL indicates struggling performance lately)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (9454 points conceded, ranking among the worst in the conference)
  • Worse overall record (36-45 compared to Kings' 39-42, showing less consistency throughout the season)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown between the Phoenix Suns and the home team Sacramento Kings on Sunday, April 13.

Sacramento KingsPhoenix Suns
Moneyline-1000 (via bet365 US)+750 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Best NBA sportsbook promos

Start OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)
End OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns preview

The Sacramento Kings host the Phoenix Suns in a season finale with dramatically different stakes for each squad - the Kings fighting for the ninth seed and home-court advantage in their first play-in game while the Suns are just looking to end a miserable campaign.

Sacramento (39-42) has squandered two chances to lock up that ninth seed, but they've dominated this matchup recently, going 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 meetings with Phoenix.

The Kings will lean on their seventh-ranked offense led by DeMar DeRozan (22.4 PPG) and Zach LaVine (22.6 PPG), though they'll miss sixth man Malik Monk who's sidelined for this contest.

Phoenix limps into this matchup having lost eight of their last nine games and will be severely shorthanded with Kevin Durant and Devin Booker both out, leaving Bradley Beal to carry the offensive load.

Defense has been the Achilles' heel for both teams - Phoenix ranks 27th in defensive rating while Sacramento isn't much better at 22nd, setting up what could be a high-scoring affair despite the absences.

The Kings' rebounding advantage could prove decisive, as they've thoroughly outrebounded the Suns in head-to-head matchups this season and boast the NBA's second-highest defensive rebounding rate.

Look for Sacramento to attack Phoenix's vulnerable interior defense, where the Suns rank 29th in points in the paint allowed this season.

With the Kings desperate for a win to secure that home play-in game, expect them to come out firing against a depleted Suns team that's already thinking about vacation plans.

Key stats

  • 1
    Both teams have identical 39-42 records, tied for 9th and 11th positions in the Western Conference
  • 2
    The Kings have scored more points (9381) than the Suns (9219) while allowing fewer points against (9353 vs 9454)
  • 3
    Sacramento shows stronger recent form with 'LLWWW' compared to Phoenix's 'WLLLL'
  • 4
    Kings have a -0.4 point differential compared to Suns' much weaker -2.9 differential

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns form

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Apr 12, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers101:100Sacramento Kings
Apr 10, 2025
Denver Nuggets124:116Sacramento Kings
Apr 7, 2025
Detroit Pistons117:127Sacramento Kings
Apr 6, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers113:120Sacramento Kings
Apr 4, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats102:125Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Apr 12, 2025
San Antonio Spurs98:117Phoenix Suns
Apr 10, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder125:112Phoenix Suns
Apr 9, 2025
Golden State Warriors133:95Phoenix Suns
Apr 6, 2025
New York Knicks112:98Phoenix Suns
Apr 4, 2025
Boston Celtics123:103Phoenix Suns

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns head to head

Sacramento Kings

60%

Phoenix Suns

40%

Apr 13, 2025

Sacramento Kings

0 : 0

Phoenix Suns

Mar 15, 2025

Phoenix Suns

122 : 106

Sacramento Kings

Nov 14, 2024

Sacramento Kings

127 : 104

Phoenix Suns

Nov 11, 2024

Phoenix Suns

118 : 127

Sacramento Kings

Jul 20, 2024

Sacramento Kings

87 : 77

Phoenix Suns

Apr 13, 2024

Sacramento Kings

107 : 108

Phoenix Suns

Betting on the NBA?

Sporting Post is your trusted source for NBA betting. We deliver expert NBA predictions, top NBA picks, and the latest NBA odds. Our detailed game analysis and real-time insights help you bet with confidence. Plus, we’ve reviewed and tested the best NBA betting sites to ensure you’re using safe and trusted online sportsbooks, the best betting apps, and betting sites.