The red-hot Pittsburgh Penguins, winners of their last two contests, will aim to continue their offensive surge when they face a Boston Bruins squad looking to bounce back from a disappointing 5-2 loss to Chicago.
With Sidney Crosby leading Pittsburgh's attack (89 points) against David Pastrnak's impressive 102-point campaign for Boston, Sunday's matchup could hinge on special teams—the Penguins converting 25% of power plays while the Bruins struggle with the league's 22nd-ranked penalty kill.
Recent history favors Boston with a 7-3-0 record in their last ten against Pittsburgh, setting the stage for what promises to be an intense showdown between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Boston Bruins at PPG Paints Arena.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins matchup, our predictive model gives the Penguins a 52.5% chance of defeating the Bruins.
Pittsburgh Penguins: 52.5% win probability
- Superior offensive production (237 goals scored compared to Boston's 214)
- More balanced scoring distribution across the roster (averaging 2.96 goals per game)
- Better momentum heading into the game (coming off a recent win and 3-2 record in last 5 games)
Boston Bruins: 47.5% win probability
- Struggling offense (only 214 goals scored, ranking near bottom of Eastern Conference)
- Poor scoring efficiency (2.68 goals per game average)
- Inconsistent performances on the road (shown by their 32-39-0 overall record)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins odds
Here are the latest odds for Sunday, April 13's NHL matchup as the Boston Bruins visit the Pittsburgh Penguins at home.
| Pittsburgh Penguins | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -152 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | +136 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins preview
The battle between the Bruins and Penguins this Sunday at PPG Paints Arena promises to be a tight contest as Pittsburgh aims for their third straight win while Boston looks to rebound from their disappointing 5-2 loss to Chicago.
Sidney Crosby continues to lead the Penguins' attack with 89 points this season, while Boston's offense relies heavily on David Pastrnak, who's already racked up 102 points including 42 goals.
Pittsburgh's recent defensive improvement is noteworthy - they've allowed just five goals in their last three home games, which might spell trouble for a Bruins team that's given up 12 goals in their last three road contests.
Special teams could tip the scales in this matchup, with the Penguins converting an impressive 25% of their power play opportunities facing a Boston penalty kill unit that ranks 22nd in the league.
The three-game season series sits deadlocked at 1-1, though history favors the Bruins who've won 7 of their last 10 meetings against Pittsburgh.
Jeremy Swayman will likely get the nod in net for Boston after stopping 16 of 20 shots in his last outing, while Tristan Jarry should mind the crease for Pittsburgh following a solid performance where he saved 26 of 28 shots against New Jersey.
The Penguins' home crowd at PPG Paints Arena should give them an edge as they look to capitalize on Boston's recent road struggles and climb further up the standings.
I'm expecting a physical, back-and-forth affair where Pittsburgh's hot power play unit might ultimately make the difference in what could be a defining game for both teams' seasons.
Key stats
- 1Pittsburgh Penguins sit 13th in Eastern Conference with 78 points from 80 games, just 5 points ahead of Boston Bruins
- 2Boston Bruins currently rank 16th in Eastern Conference with 73 points from 80 games played
- 3Pittsburgh has scored 237 goals while conceding 287, giving them a -50 goal difference compared to Boston's -52
- 4Recent form shows Pittsburgh with WWLWL while Boston has identical recent form of LWLWL
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins form
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins head to head
Pittsburgh Penguins
33%
Boston Bruins
67%
Mar 1, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins
2 : 3
Boston Bruins
Nov 29, 2024
Boston Bruins
1 : 2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 14, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins
4 : 6
Boston Bruins
Mar 9, 2024
Boston Bruins
5 : 1
Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 5, 2024
Boston Bruins
5 : 6
Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 1, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins
3 : 4
Boston Bruins
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