The Chicago Bulls will look to extend their dominant run against the Miami Heat when the Eastern Conference rivals clash in a win-or-go-home play-in tournament game at the United Center on Wednesday night.

Chicago has swept all three meetings with Miami this season and enters with significant momentum after winning six of their last seven games, while the Heat stumbled down the stretch, dropping four of their final six contests.

With the Bulls holding home court advantage and the Heat potentially missing several key players, this elimination matchup features a desperate Miami squad needing to reverse their fortunes against a Chicago team that's found its identity without Zach LaVine.

Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat matchup, our predictive model gives the Bulls a 57.75% chance of defeating the Heat.

Chicago Bulls: 57.75% win probability

  • Recent momentum (Won 4 of last 5 games with WWWLW form)
  • Superior offensive production (9660 points scored vs Miami's 9069)
  • Better overall record (39-43 compared to Miami's 37-45)

Miami Heat: 42.25% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent form (LWLWL in last 5 games)
  • Defensive struggles (9023 points allowed despite lower scoring output)
  • Road disadvantage (traveling to face a Bulls team with home court momentum)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat odds

Here are the latest odds as the Chicago Bulls host the Miami Heat in this NBA matchup on Wednesday, April 16.

Chicago BullsMiami Heat
Moneyline-115 (via bet365 US)+102 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat preview

The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls face off in a win-or-go-home Eastern Conference play-in clash on Wednesday at the United Center, with the ninth-seeded Bulls carrying momentum from winning all three regular season matchups against the Heat.

Chicago closed the regular season on fire, winning six of their last seven games behind Coby White's 20.4 points per game and Josh Giddey's all-around contributions, while Miami limped to the finish line, dropping four of their final six contests despite Tyler Herro's 23.9 points per night.

The Bulls' home-court advantage came courtesy of their head-to-head sweep, including a 119-111 victory over Miami in their most recent meeting on April 9.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. enters with confidence after dropping 41 points in Miami's regular season finale, but the Heat will need far more defensive resistance after allowing Chicago to pour in 122 points per game in their three meetings this season.

The winner earns a chance to play for the eighth seed on Friday, while the loser's season ends abruptly—adding enormous stakes to a matchup featuring two teams trending in opposite directions.

Key stats

  • 1
    Bulls rank 9th in the Eastern Conference (39-43 record) compared to Miami's 10th place (37-45)
  • 2
    Chicago averages more points per game (117.8) than Miami (110.6)
  • 3
    The Bulls have better recent form (WWWLW) than the Heat (LWLWL)
  • 4
    Miami has stronger defense, allowing 110.0 points per game versus Chicago's 119.4

Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat form

Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Apr 13, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers102:122Chicago Bulls
Apr 12, 2025
Washington Wizards89:119Chicago Bulls
Apr 10, 2025
Miami Heat111:119Chicago Bulls
Apr 8, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers135:113Chicago Bulls
Apr 6, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats117:131Chicago Bulls
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Apr 13, 2025
Washington Wizards119:118Miami Heat
Apr 12, 2025
New Orleans Hornets104:153Miami Heat
Apr 10, 2025
Chicago Bulls119:111Miami Heat
Apr 7, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers105:117Miami Heat
Apr 6, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks121:115Miami Heat

Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat head to head

Chicago Bulls

80%

Miami Heat

20%

Apr 16, 2025

Chicago Bulls

0 : 0

Miami Heat

Apr 10, 2025

Chicago Bulls

119 : 111

Miami Heat

Mar 9, 2025

Miami Heat

109 : 114

Chicago Bulls

Feb 5, 2025

Chicago Bulls

133 : 124

Miami Heat

Apr 19, 2024

Miami Heat

112 : 91

Chicago Bulls

Dec 17, 2023

Miami Heat

118 : 116

Chicago Bulls

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