MLS Best Bets Today: Expert MLS Betting Picks for 04/26/2025

Cincinnati and Sporting KC should deliver a goal-filled contest this afternoon, making the Over 2.5 goals bet particularly appealing at -154 odds.

Dimers' predictive model gives this wager a solid 63.7% probability, representing a 3.1% edge over the market.

The attacking capabilities of both sides suggest we'll see multiple scoring opportunities throughout the match, with Cincinnati looking particularly dangerous going forward this season.

Sporting KC has demonstrated inconsistent defensive performance lately, often participating in high-scoring affairs regardless of the final result.

With both teams needing points at this stage of the season, expect aggressive attacking approaches rather than cautious play, creating ideal conditions for a match that surpasses the 2.5 goal threshold.

Philadelphia Union stands as the clear value play today against DC United, with the model showing a significant 8.2% edge on the moneyline at -140 odds.

The Union has demonstrated excellent form on the road this season, making them a particularly strong play despite being the visiting team at Audi Field.

DC United has struggled for consistency, failing to establish dominance at home where Philadelphia's disciplined tactical approach should prove effective.

The analytical models give Philadelphia a 66.5% win probability, substantially higher than what the odds suggest.

While Christian Benteke remains a scoring threat for DC United with strong anytime scorer value, Philadelphia's overall team quality and organization should ultimately prevail in this Eastern Conference matchup.

The DC United vs Philadelphia clash has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair, with the Over 2.5 goals line showing value despite the shorter -185 odds.

Both teams have demonstrated their ability to find the net consistently, with DC United featuring Christian Benteke who's been in excellent scoring form this season with multiple goals already.

Philadelphia's attacking approach, particularly on counter-attacks, creates natural scoring opportunities in both directions.

Historical matchups between these Eastern Conference rivals tend to produce goals, with defensive lapses often occurring as the game stretches.

The predictive model assigns a confident 67% probability to this outcome, translating to a 2.1% edge that makes this a solid addition to today's betting card.

Christian Benteke continues to demonstrate his elite finishing ability in MLS, making the anytime goalscorer market particularly enticing at +150 odds against Philadelphia.

The Belgian striker has already notched four goals and an assist in six MLS games this season, showing he remains DC United's primary offensive threat.

Benteke's aerial prowess presents a consistent problem for defenders, especially on set pieces where Philadelphia has occasionally shown vulnerability.

Coming off his impressive 2024 campaign where he outscored elite talents like Messi and Suarez to win the Golden Boot, Benteke shows no signs of slowing down.

While Philadelphia offers strong defensive resistance, Benteke's ability to create opportunities for himself and convert from limited chances makes this prop bet stand out as one of today's best values.