NHL Best Bets Today: Expert NHL Picks for 04/27/2025

The Blues-Jets series has shown definite offensive firepower, with the Blues alone scoring 11 goals through three games and putting up 7 in their most recent outing.

St. Louis has momentum at home, with Buchnevich, Thomas, and Kyrou creating quality scoring chances against a Jets defense that's been vulnerable.

Winnipeg hasn't been quiet either, contributing 9 goals in the series so far, with Mason Appleton and Kyle Connor consistently finding ways to beat Jordan Binnington.

Multiple expert sources point to the offensive potential in this matchup, with one model showing a 47.4% probability of exceeding 5.5 goals despite the plus-money odds.

While playoff hockey often trends tighter, these teams have established a pattern of high-scoring games, making the over at +122 a value play with two offenses that are clicking at the right time.

The Hurricanes continue to struggle on the road in the playoffs, going just 5-14 in their last 19 playoff road games and 0-5-2 in their last seven games away from home.

New Jersey showed real resilience in Game 3's double-overtime win, where Jacob Markstrom was stellar with 27 saves on 29 shots, giving the Devils crucial momentum heading into Game 4.

While Carolina dominated the first two games in Raleigh, their goaltending has been suspect on the road with Frederik Andersen allowing 19 goals in his last four starts.

The Devils' offense finally showed signs of life in Game 3 after scoring just two goals total in the first two games, and they'll have the home crowd behind them again.

The +150 price on New Jersey represents significant value given Carolina's documented road playoff struggles and the Devils' opportunity to even the series.

While the series started with low-scoring affairs, Game 3 showed signs of offensive awakening, and there's reason to believe Game 4 continues this trend.

The Dimers model rates this as their strongest NHL play of the day with a compelling 3.9% edge and 50.2% probability at +116 odds.

The Hurricanes have averaged 3 goals per game in their last three contests while converting an impressive 30% of their power play opportunities.

New Jersey's offense is due for positive regression after managing just 5 goals through three games, especially as they've shown improvement at home.

With the Devils desperate to even the series and Carolina likely to press offensively to avoid a 2-2 tie, we expect a more wide-open affair than the previous matchups.

Game 3 between the Capitals and Canadiens saw a more open contest with Montreal fighting desperately to get back in the series.

Both starting goaltenders were injured in Game 3, potentially setting up a battle of backup netminders, which dramatically increases the scoring potential.

Washington has maintained an even-keeled approach throughout the series and should continue to find scoring opportunities against a potentially inexperienced goaltender.

The first two games were low-scoring affairs, but as the series progresses, teams are finding more offensive rhythm and exploiting defensive weaknesses they've identified.

With the pressure of elimination potentially influencing Montreal's defensive structure and likely backup goalies in net, this creates optimal conditions for the over.