Man United vs Fulham Prediction, Tips, Preview

The Premier League returns on Friday evening. Manchester United and Fulham have the task of lifting the curtain on the new season and they’ll do so at Old Trafford.

Both teams will be looking to make positive starts to the campaign, but can either get the desired result? Read on for our Man United vs Fulham predictions.

Man United vs Fulham prediction

For the Man United vs Fulham match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2–2 draw based on our analysis.

Naturally, the hosts are big favourites here, but have they really improved during the off-season? Time will soon tell, but as we saw last season, the Cottagers can thrive when seen as underdogs, so don’t expect Marco Silva’s men to lie down here.

Our predictions and tips for Man United vs Fulham are shown below:

Antonee Robinson Over 0.5 Assists @ 8/1 with bet365
Harrison Reed to be Booked @ 5/2 with bet365

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Man United vs Fulham betting odds

The table below shows that the implied probability of a Man United win is 64.5%, also showing the implied probabilities for all three possible outcomes, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Bet	Odds	Implied probability	Our adjusted probability	Difference
Man United	11/20	64.5%	53.3%	-11.2%
Fulham	5/1	16.7%	20.0%	+3.3%
Draw	16/5	23.8%	26.7%	+2.9%

Man United vs Fulham head-to-head statistics

When the teams last met, at this venue back in February, Fulham won by two goals to one, courtesy of a last-ditch strike from Alex Iwobi. That was Fulham’s first win against Manchester United since 2009. Friday’s hosts have won four of the last five renewals of this fixture.

Man United vs Fulham preview

This match will be played on 16/08/2024 at Old Trafford. Kick off will be at 20:00 GMT.

After another underwhelming campaign last time around, finishing outside of the top four for the second time in three years, the Red Devils will be looking to improve.

Despite many calling for his head, Erik ten Hag remains at the Old Trafford helm. Could the Dutchman mastermind more of a title challenge? It seems unlikely, but we’ll see.

Following that finish of eighth last term, United have acted in the off-season, bringing in Joshua Zirkzee from Bologna. The Dutch forward scored 11 goals in Serie A last season.

Also joining the playing staff at Old Trafford is Leny Yoro, who cost a reported £52 million. A prospect for sure, but is the 18-year-old defender, who joins from Lille in Ligue 1, going to get United closer to the big dogs? I very much doubt it.

For Fulham, well, the previous season went relatively well. Marco Silva’s men ticked along nicely, were never really in any danger of dropping into the relegation scrap, while they picked up some big results, including at Old Trafford, where they won by two goals to one.

Key midfielder Joao Palhinha has since left, which is a blow for both Silva and Fulham fans alike, though the signing of Emile Smith Rowe is a positive one.

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The creative midfielder has left Arsenal in search of more game time, which he should find at Craven Cottage, where he’ll be joined by Jorge Cuenca, a central defender from Villarreal and Ryan Sessegnon, who rejoins the club following a largely fruitless spell at Spurs.

Under Silva, the Cottagers have been quite steady over the last few seasons. They can be tough to beat, while they’re a threat on the break, especially against teams that allow them room to manoeuvre.

Man United vs Fulham Betting tips

From a betting point of view, this is an interesting fixture. As the numbers in the table above suggest, I am of the opinion that there’s a little bit of value to be had by opposing a home win, so if you go down that route, I wouldn’t blame you.

However, I’ll be taking a slightly different route. The player route. There are a couple of player bets that catch my eye ahead of this one, so let’s get into those.

Antonee Robinson Over 0.5 Assists

High intensity full-back Antonee Robinson was an important player for Fulham at both ends of the pitch last season and he likely will be again as Marco Silva’s men look to improve on what was a very solid finish of 13th.

What was perhaps most eye-catching about Robinson from a stats point of view was the fact that he chipped in with six league assists, producing 0.16 assists per 90 minutes. Very respectable indeed.

Given that Robinson registered six assists last season, he looks a little leniently priced at odds of 8/1 to assist at Old Trafford on Friday night.

If we break it down, 8/1 implies an 11.1% chance. 0.16 assists per 90 minutes translates to Robinson assisting in 16% of his Premier League 90’s. 16% converted into odds is 5.25/1, thus making odds of 8/1 look somewhat user friendly.

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Far from a sure-fire winner, I see an edge here, one that is well worth exploiting, especially as Robinson is likely to overlap and get crossing positions on the break.

Harrison Reed to be Booked

Harrison Reed played a relatively limited role for the Cottagers last term, making 27 appearances, only 15 of which came from the outset, though he could be more heavily involved this time around following the sale of Joao Palhinha.

He looks a likely starter here and if that’s the case, if odds of 5/2 remain available, he looks a decent bet to begin the campaign with a card.

Only the recently departed Palhinha went into the book more times than Reed last season, who also gave away the third highest numbers of fouls for Fulham, making an average of 1.76 fouls per 90 minutes.

Per 90 minutes, the English midfielder picked up an average of 0.40 yellow cards, which means he was booked slightly less than once every two games. That’ll do for me.