West Brom vs Leeds United Prediction, Betting Tips, Preview

On Saturday afternoon, the pre-season favourites for the title will be back in action as Leeds travel to take on West Brom at the Hawthorns.

After only drawing on the opening day, the visitors will be looking for an improved result, though beating a Baggies team that won well against QPR won’t be easy. Read on for our West Brom vs Leeds predictions.

West Brom vs Leeds United prediction

For the West Brom vs Leeds United match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 draw based on our analysis.

Despite not winning last weekend, Saturday’s visitors showed loads going forward, but they also showed defensive weakness, while they’re up against a home team that can certainly do the business offensively.

Our predictions and tips for West Brom vs Leeds United can be found below:

Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens with Betfred

John Swift to Score @ 5/1 with bet365
Wilfried Gnonto to be Booked @ 3/1 with bet365

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West Brom vs Leeds United betting odds

The early betting suggests that Leeds have a 47.6% chance of winning this game. The table below shows the implied probabilities for all three outcomes, plus our adjusted probabilities.

Bet	Odds	Implied probability	Our adjusted probability	Difference
West Brom	13/5	27.8%	26.7%	-1.1%
Leeds United	11/10	47.6%	44.4%	-3.2%
Draw	5/2	28.6%	28.9%	+0.3%

West Brom vs Leeds United head-to-head statistics

The pair twice met during the previous campaign, first meeting at Elland Road, where they drew 1-1 earlier in the campaign. In December, the Baggies beat Leeds by a goal to nil in front of a home crowd, courtesy of a Grady Diangana strike eight minutes before the break.

West Brom vs Leeds United preview

This match will be played on 1708/2024 at The Hawthorns. Kick off will be at 12:30 GMT.

Last weekend went swimmingly for West Bromwich Albion and Baggies fans, with those who travelled down to the capital returning with big smiles after watching their team deliver a real smash-and-grab win.

Despite going a goal down against a QPR side that on paper looks strong, the men managed by Carlos Corberán kept their cool, replying before the break, before adding the finishing touches in the second half, eventually winning by three goals to one.

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It was a decent all-round performance from the Baggies, but the star of the show was Josh Maja, who netted a hat-trick. After scoring just one goal in 12 appearances last season, the forward will be hoping that his opening-day trixie paves the way for a strong campaign.

For Leeds, things haven’t quite gone to plan yet. Despite flying out of the traps at home to newly promoted side Portsmouth last weekend, with them twice striking the woodwork early doors, Daniel Farke’s promotion chasers failed to pick up three points.

They took the lead and were on top throughout, but their opponents, who were under constant pressure, refused to go quietly and kept finding a way to upset the hosts, who required a 95th minute goal from substitute Brenden Aaronson to share the spoils.

Of course, that result last weekend won’t have pleased Leeds fans, but the performance was a positive one, while we shouldn’t dwell too much on that mid-week defeat in the EFL Cup as it’s crystal clear that Farke’s only concern this season is returning to the Premier League.

West Brom vs Leeds United Betting tips

I’m getting on the attack ahead of this game, taking three bites of the betting cherry. Here goes.

Over 2.5 Goals

I like what I’ve seen from both teams offensively, so much so that I’m surprised to see quotes of even-money flying about for ‘Over 2.5 Goals’. Neither have looked overly secure at the back, while both seem to have plenty going for them offensively.

We know that Leeds will look to dictate with the ball and they’ll certainly push forward, much as they did when scoring three last weekend, though such a tactic undone them a bit defensively, while the Baggies are clearly a threat on the break, as the R’s found out.

What we’ve seen from the pair so far points towards this being a goal-filled game and with generous-looking odds of Evens (or 2.00 depending on what you prefer) available, I’m willing to bet that at least three goals arrive at The Hawthorns on Saturday.

John Swift to Score

With Josh Maja netting a hat-trick at Loftus Road, John Swift went under the radar a little, but the West Brom number 10 continued to look dangerous, much as he has done for several Championship seasons. Do not be surprised if he has another strong campaign in that floating/free role.

Swift is the man who pulls the strings for the Baggies, there’s no doubt about that, while he also offers a sizable goal threat.

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Scoring nine times in the league last term, the 29-year-old averaged a chunky 0.43 goals per 90 minutes, not to mention 2.08 shots per 90 minutes. Such stats make odds of 5/1 catch the eye.

At the risk of sounding like a dull-as-dishwater, name-dropping pundit (and I’m no pundit, nor do I have any names to drop), I met a young John Swift outside a night club around a decade ago. I can't remember why we spoke (briefly), but we did. After hearing that he was a player under contract at Chelsea, I laughed (regrettably). I thought this was typical smoking-area nonsense. It wasn't. When a few months later I saw him feature on a set of Football League highlights, it dawned on me that not everybody talks complete rubbish in such situations.

John, I wish I'd believed you, but forgive me and get on the score-sheet this weekend, please?

Wilfried Gnonto to be Booked

From a booking point of view, Wilfried Gnonto is hard to resist at 3/1. The fiery Italian scored last week and looked plenty hungry, but his hunger, eagerness, inexperience, not to mention stupidity, means that he’s no stranger to drawing attention from the referee.

Gnonto was probably lucky to pick up just three yellow cards last season and I’m not sure that number will be so low this time around. After all, this is a man who averaged 2.01 fouls per 90 minutes during the previous campaign.

With his team desperate for that first win, don’t be surprised if his often over exuberant approach gets him in trouble.