HomeNewsDenmark vs Serbia Prediction, Tips, Preview

Denmark vs Serbia Prediction, Tips, Preview

Denmark vs Serbia Prediction, Tips, Preview
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Published at: September 6th, 2024
Updated at: September 6th, 2024

On Sunday evening, there’s more action from the UEFA Nations League, where in League A, Denmark will take on Serbia in what will be a renewal of one of Euro 2024’s group games.

Can either side do better than they did when drawing 0-0 in Germany over the summer? We’ll find out at Parken Stadium. Read on for our Denmark vs Serbia predictions.

Denmark vs Serbia prediction

For the Denmark vs Serbia match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-1 draw based on our analysis.

The Danes got the job done against the Swiss on Thursday, but they had the luxury of facing ten men for much of that game, while the Serbs were in defiant mood against the Spanish and may fancy themselves to frustrate once more.

Our predictions and tips for this UEFA Nations League game are as follows:

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Denmark vs Serbia betting odds

See below the implied probabilities behind the match result odds, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Bet

Odds

Implied probability

Our adjusted probability

Difference

Denmark

8/11

57.9%

54.5%

-3.4%

Serbia

4/1

20.0%

20%

0.0%

Draw

11/4

26.7%

25.5%

-1.2%

Denmark vs Serbia head-to-head statistics

This will be the fourth renewal of this fixture. Before the teams recently drew 0-0 at the European Championships, Denmark won 3-0 at this venue in a friendly back in 2022. The Serbs have never beaten the Danes, losing three of the four previous renewals of this fixture.

Denmark vs Serbia preview

This match will be played on 08/09/2024 at Parke Stadium. Kick off will be at 17:00 GMT.

Following what was quite a tame exit from the European Championships, going out in the first knockout round having failed to win a single group game, the Danes got back down to business in the Nations League on Thursday night and it was a promising start to the campaign.

In front of a home crowd, against an ill-disciplined Swiss team, Lars Knudsen’s men got the job done, scoring twice after half-time, first through Lecce’s Patrick Dorgu, before captain and ex-Spurs midfielder Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg sealed the deal in stoppage time.

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For the Serbs, who also underwhelmed at Euro 2024, an uphill task was served by those deciding the UEFA Nations League fixtures.

A home match against the recently crowned European champions was not going to be easy, and it certainly wasn’t, but the man managed by Dragan Stojković dug deep and frustrated from beginning to end, grinding out an admirable 0-0 draw. Can they now kick on away from the comforts of home?

Denmark vs Serbia Betting tips

I’m keeping my powder relatively dry here, placing just one player bet. Here goes.

Sasa Lukic to be Booked

A player who regularly tests the patience of referees, Sasa Lukic could quite easily and probably should be the favourite to pick up a yellow card in this game.

While the Serbian midfielder is not the most likely in the betting, he looks a decent bet at odds of 5/2. Let’s face it, in qualifying for the European Championships, Lukic made 10 fouls, averaging 2.38 per game, while he was booked at the finals in Germany, averaging 0.43 yellow per 90 minutes.

He’s already picked up a yellow for Fulham this season, while in 2024, the 28-year-old averages 0.34 cards per game for his nation.

On the premise that an average of 0.33 would translate to getting booked 33% of the time, which translates to odds of 2/1, odds of 5/2 look a little generous.

Recap - Denmark vs Serbia betting tips

To recap, the best bet ahead of Denmark vs Serbia is:

Sasa Lukic to be Booked @ 5/2 with bet365

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Author
Bradley Gibbs

With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.