Crystal Palace vs Man United Prediction, Tips, Preview

Saturday’s evening kick-off comes our way from Selhurst Park, where the Eagles take on the Red Devils. Can the hosts pick up their first win of the season having got the job done in the EFL Cup during the week?

For the visitors, it was goals galore as they romped to victory against Barnsley during the week, but can they repeat that effort now back in league action? I doubt it. Read on for our Crystal Palace vs Man United predictions.

Crystal Palace vs Man United prediction

For the Crystal Palace vs Man United match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 draw based on our analysis.

Both teams will be feeling confident after their efforts during the week, so there really is little reason for either to hold back here, but can either team come out on top?

Our Crystal Palace vs Man United predictions and tips are as follows:

Bruno Fernandes to Score @ 11/4 with Boylesports

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Crystal Palace vs Man United betting odds

The table below shows the implied probabilities behind the match result odds, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Bet	Odds	Implied probability	Our adjusted probability	Difference
Crystal Palace to Win	7/4	36.4%	38.1%	+1.5%
Man United to Win	11/8	42.1%	34.8%	-7.3%
Draw	5/2	26.7%	27.1%	+0.4%

Crystal Palace vs Man United head-to-head statistics

The Eagles have a pleasing recent record against the Red Devils, winning each of the last two renewals of this fixture, including when romping to victory (4-0) at home in the Premier League last season. Only one of the last five league meetings between the two has gone the way of Man United.

Crystal Palace vs Man United preview

This match will be played on 19/09/2024 at Selhurst Park. Kick off will be at 17:30 GMT.

The Eagles may not yet be soaring, but they’ve been threatening to take off of late, so we shouldn’t be surprised if Oliver Glasner’s men make life very tough for United on Saturday evening.

Undefeated in four, the Palace boys have steadied themselves after a slightly rocky start, winning two cup games, picking up two respectable draws in the league. The question is can they now build on that and kick on?

For the visitors, it’s been a mixed bag in the league. They weren’t really tested by Southampton last weekend, picking up a relatively routine win, though in other games, they’ve struggled to get going and not just when taking a battering from Liverpool.

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Sure, Erik ten Hag’s men shifted through the gears to beat an inept and far-from-at-the-races Barnsley side in the EFL Cup during the week, but does that mean much? Probably not. The trick will be avoiding complacency at Selhurst Park, which is not something that this particular side has become known for.

Crystal Palace vs Man United Betting tips

Ahead of Saturday’s evening fixture, just one bet appeals. Here goes.

Bruno Fernandes to Score

Yet to score this season, Bruno Fernandes continues to be one of United’s main men and it likely won’t be long before he’s back on the scoresheet, let’s be honest.

The 30-year-old scored ten times in the Premier League last season, notching an average of 0.29 goals per 90 minutes. If we say he scored in 29% of his 90-minute appearances, we get odds of 2.45/1 (= 29% implied probability). Odds of 11/4 imply a probability of 26.7%, so we might just have a little edge here.

After all, Fernandes is averaging a chunky 0.39 expected goals per 90 minutes, while he’s taken no less than 13 shots in the Premier League, averaging 3.36 per 90. That goal is coming and with a potentially generous 11/4 on offer, I’m betting he gets it here.