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Slovakia vs Sweden prediction, Tips, Preview

Slovakia vs Sweden prediction, Tips, Preview
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Published at: October 9th, 2024
Updated at: October 9th, 2024

On Friday evening, there’s more UEFA Nations League action taking place across the continent, with matches being played in several European capitals, one of which is Bratislava, where Slovakia and Sweden go head-to-head.

Both teams will be looking to kick on following very positive starts to the current campaign, but can make it three wins from three games? Read on for our Slovakia vs Sweden predictions and tips.

Slovakia vs Sweden prediction

For the Slovakia vs Sweden match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 draw based on our analysis.

Both teams have shown lots of offensive quality at the start of this Nations League campaign, so both should fancy themselves to make headway, but can either team come out on top?

Our Slovakia vs Sweden predictions and tips are:

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Slovakia vs Sweden betting odds

In the table below, you’ll see the implied probabilities behind the match result odds, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Bet

Odds

Implied probability

Our adjusted probability

Difference

Slovakia to Win

6/4

40%

35.1%

-4.9%

Sweden to Win

7/4

36.4%

33.1%

-3.3%

Draw

12/5

29.4%

31.8%

+2.4%

Slovakia vs Sweden head-to-head statistics

This will be the first time that the nations have faced each other on the pitch since 2021, when Sweden won by a goal to nil. That match came three years after the pair drew 1-1.

Slovakia vs Sweden preview

This match will be played on 11/10/2024 at Tehelne Pole in Bratislava. Kick off will be at 19:45 GMT.

Slovakia vs Sweden Betting tips

At the early prices, two player bets appeals ahead of this fixture:

Lukas Haraslin to Score

As the Slovaks performed with plenty of credit at Euro 2024, few players impressed more than the tireless and hard-working Lukas Haraslin, who not only ran himself into the ground in all four of Slovakia’s games, but offered lots of end-product.

The Sparta Prague forward/winger has played with the same level of intensity and purpose at the start of this UEFA Nations League campaign too.

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He may not have scored, but the 28-year-old has certainly looked hungry, shooting eight times in two appearances, registering averages of 4.16 shots and 1.04 shots on target per 90.

Throw into the mix that he’s scored three domestic goals so far this campaign, averaging 0.56 goals per 90 minutes, and at 3/1, he looks a decent bet to score, especially against a Sweden side that is likely to present the hosts with counter-attacking opportunities.

Viktor Gyökeres to Score

Right now, is there a more direct and threatening number nine than Viktor Gyökeres in world football? I seriously doubt it.

Just as he did last season, the Swedish striker has scored for fun in a Sporting Lisbon shirt this season, scoring a staggering 11 goals in eight league matches, also grabbing a goal in the UEFA Champions League.

The scorer of three goals last time out, Gyökeres has been in hot form for his nation too, so we really shouldn’t be surprised if he does the business on Friday night.

If we also consider that the 26-year-old powerhouse averages 1.25 xG per 90 minutes and 4.47 shots per 90 minutes domestically, odds of 7/4 look rather generous indeed. I wouldn’t be surprised if such odds have shortened by the time this one kicks off, so get in early.

Recap - Slovakia vs Sweden betting tips

Here’s a quick reminder of our Slovakia vs Sweden betting tips:

Lukas Haraslin to Score @ 3/1 with Boylesports

Viktor Gyökeres to Score @ 7/4 with Boylesports

More Nations League betting tips:

Before betting on the UEFA Nations League, please make sure to use a legal and trusted betting app. Check out our handy guide to best football betting apps.

Author
Bradley Gibbs

With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.