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There’s UEFA Champions League action in France on Wednesday evening, with Monaco and Benfica clashing at the famously unique venue of Stade Louis II.
As they sit in a lofty third position in the newly designed league table, the hosts will be looking to continue impressing, while the visitors will be searching for better as their position isn’t as secure. Read on for our Monaco vs Benfica predictions and tips.
Monaco vs Benfica prediction
For the Monaco vs Benfica match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-1 win for the hosts based on our analysis.
In Europe, home is clearly where the heart is for Monaco, while the visitors haven’t looked too strong on the road. Therefore, a home win would be anything but surprising.
Our Monaco vs Benfica predictions and tips:
Breel Embolo Over 1.5 Shots on Target @ 11/5 with betway
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Monaco vs Benfica betting odds
The table below shows the probabilities implied by the match result odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Monaco to Win | 23/20 | 46.5% | 43.1% | -3.4% |
Benfica to Win | 21/10 | 32.3% | 28.1% | -4.2% |
Draw | 13/5 | 27.8% | 28.8% | +1.0% |
Monaco vs Benfica head-to-head statistics
This will be the first time in a decade that the pair have met. Back in 2014, in this competition, they met during the group stages, drawing 0-0 in France, before Benfica picked up a 1-0 win in Portugal.
Monaco vs Benfica preview
This match will be played on 27/11/2024 at Stade Louis II. Kick off will be at 20:00 GMT.
As far as the Champions League is concerned, things could hardly have gone better for Wednesday’s hosts, who are flying high near the top of the newly designed league table.
Last time on the continent, they got the better of Bologna away from home, making it three wins from four games. Ahead of this fixture, Adi Hutter’s men have warmed up nicely, winning on their return to action following the international break, making it three wins from their last three in all competitions.
As far as the visitors are concerned, there’s work to be done in this competition. First time out, they were successful away in Belgrade, while they built on that by beating Atletico on match-day two, but things have since taken a turn for the worst, with the Portuguese outfit losing each of their last two.
Fortunately, the Benfica players will head to Monaco off the back of a thumping recent domestic win, so they likely won’t be lacking in confidence.
Monaco vs Benfica Betting tips
Just one player bet appeals here.
Breel Embolo Over 1.5 Shots on Target
Out of sorts in terms of goals, Monaco forward Breel Embolo is probably not a player to give up on, and at odds of 11/5, I think he’s worth betting to, at the very least, test the Benfica keeper a couple of times in this match.
The Swiss forward, who has never really had much luck injury wise, is a very capable scorer of goals, while he hasn’t exactly been shy to shoot in this competition. He's also a player more than capable of hitting the target from a variety of positions.
In four UCL appearances this season, Embolo has taken eight shots, registering five on target. When we break it down, he’s averaging 2.68 shots per 90 minutes, averaging also 1.67 shots on target per 90 minutes.
The visitors have also conceded plenty in terms of shots, surrendering 24 last time out in this competition, conceding ten on target.
Factor in that he’s mustered two shots on target at home against both Barcelona and Red Star in the Champions League this season, and odds of 11/5 look too good to miss.
Recap - Monaco vs Benfica betting tips
Here’s a quick recap of Sporting Post’s Monaco vs Benfica betting tips:
Breel Embolo Over 1.5 Shots on Target @ 11/5 with betway
More Champions League betting tips:
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