For the second time in less than a week, there’s Premier League action at Portman Road on Sunday afternoon, with Ipswich hosting Bournemouth.
The visitors arrive in fine form having recently beaten both Wolves and Tottenham, while the hosts struggled to get going last time out. Can they improve here? Read on for our Ipswich vs Bournemouth predictions and tips.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction
For the Ipswich vs Bournemouth match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 3-1 win for Bournemouth based on our analysis.
Playing on the counter against a relatively open Bournemouth side may help the hosts to do a bit better offensively, but in general, they’re expected to struggle against a team that is very strong in the final third.
Our Ipswich vs Bournemouth predictions:
Bournemouth to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ 10/11 with Betfred
Marcus Tavernier to Score @ 3/1 with BoyleSports
Ipswich vs Bournemouth betting odds
See below for the probabilities implied by the match result odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ipswich to Win | 5/2 | 28.6% | 24.2% | -4.6% |
Bournemouth to Win | EVS | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.1% |
Draw | 11/4 | 26.7% | 24.7% | -2.0% |
Ipswich vs Bournemouth head-to-head statistics
This will be the first time that the teams have faced each other since they met twice during the 2014/15 Championship season, during which they shared 1-1 and 2-2 draws. A lot has happened since.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth preview
This match will be played on 08/12/2024 at Portman Road. Kick off will be at 14:00 GMT.
On Tuesday evening, Ipswich looked a little clueless against Crystal Palace, whose narrow win didn’t quite reflect what a comfortable evening it was for Oliver Glasner’s men, who barely got out of second gear.
Hard-working and often resolute, the Tractor Boys have now had a few too many games where they lack creativity, so it’s not overly difficult to see them going on a run where they struggle to score goals.
Fortunately for the hosts, the Cherries haven’t defended too well on the road, while they’ve often adopted a cavalier approach, leaving themselves exposed at the back, which may help the hosts to improve in the final third.
For the Cherries, this will be seen as a rather gilt-edged opportunity to continue their assault on the top six, and based on what we’ve seen from the pair in recent weeks, it’s easy to feel that it’s an opportunity that they’ll take.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth Betting tips
Two bets appeal ahead of this fixture:
Bournemouth to Score Over 1.5 Goals
The Cherries will arrive at Portman Road having only scored once last time out, but I really wouldn’t be put off by that. They battered Spurs offensively, created an abundance of chances, and could easily have scored four goals. Such an effort bodes well ahead of their trip to Suffolk.
The hosts also conceded just once during the week, but that wasn’t down to their own solidity. Instead, they had some wasted chances on Palace’s part to thank for not going down in more convincing fashion.
Let’s face it, this Bournemouth team can be hard to stop when they click into gear, and they’re not unfamiliar with scoring multiple goals, even away from home, where they’ve scored two or more in each of their last two.
A couple of other interesting stats ahead of this one:
Bournemouth rank as the third best team in the league for shots taken.
Ipswich are in the bottom five for shots conceded.
Ipswich are in the bottom five for shots on target conceded.
Ipswich are in the bottom five for xG conceded on home soil.
Only Liverpool, Man City and Chelsea have created more expected goals than Bournemouth in the Premier League this season.
At odds of 10/11, the Cherries are well worth betting on to continue impressing offensively by notching at least twice at Portman Road.
Marcus Tavernier to Score
Having not scored since match-day two, Marcus Tavernier certainly hasn’t been prolific in front of goal this season, but the winger/forward looked incredibly hungry in that sense on Thursday night, getting into some fantastic positions, shooting no less than four times, performing as a player whose next goal is not far away.
This season, only Antoine Semenyo has taken more shots than Tavernier, who averages 2.53 shots per 90 minutes, as well as 0.26 xG per 90 minutes.
To be honest, the lively Tavernier is due a goal and after a hugely encouraging effort last time out, ahead of a match against an Ipswich side that very much looked there for the taking in the week, he’s worth betting on to notch at odds of 3/1.
Recap - Ipswich vs Bournemouth betting tips
Here’s a reminder of our Ipswich vs Bournemouth betting tips:
Bournemouth to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ 10/11 with Betfred
Marcus Tavernier to Score @ 3/1 with BoyleSports
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Author
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.