Southampton vs Brighton Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Southampton face a daunting challenge as they welcome in-form Brighton & Hove Albion to St Mary's Stadium, with the hosts having lost 10 of their 12 home matches this season whilst sitting at the foot of the Premier League table.

The Seagulls arrive in impressive form following their commanding 3-0 victory over Chelsea, with Yankuba Minteh's recent purple patch of three goals in four matches highlighting Brighton's attacking prowess.

Recent history favours the visitors, with Brighton unbeaten in their last six meetings against Southampton, though the reverse fixture this season ended in a competitive 1-1 draw.

Both sides have been involved in high-scoring affairs lately, with Southampton's matches averaging 3.5 goals per game in their last six outings, whilst Brighton have seen 20 goals across their previous six fixtures.

With Southampton scoring in their last five league matches despite their struggles, and Brighton's defence keeping just one clean sheet in their last nine away games, fans could be in for an entertaining south coast clash.

Southampton vs. Brighton prediction: who will win?

For today's Southampton vs Brighton matchup, our predictive model gives Brighton a 76.67% chance of defeating the Saints.

Brighton: 76.67% win probability

Superior goal-scoring ability (38 goals scored vs Southampton's 19)
Better defensive record (38 goals conceded vs Southampton's 57)
Higher league position (11th vs 20th with 37 points vs 9 points)

Southampton: 23.33% win probability

Poor defensive record (57 goals conceded, second-worst in the league)
Lowest scoring team in the league (only 19 goals in 25 matches)
Worst form in the league (LWLLL, only 2 wins all season)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Southampton vs. Brighton odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League fixture between hosts Southampton and visitors Brighton at St Mary's on Saturday, February 22.

	Southampton	Brighton	Draw
Match Result	19/4 (via Betway UK)	53/100 (via Betway UK)	333/100 ( via Betway UK)

Southampton vs. Brighton preview

A crucial Premier League clash awaits at St Mary's Stadium as struggling Southampton host an in-form Brighton & Hove Albion side looking to maintain their push for Champions League football.

The Saints find themselves in dire straits, having lost 10 of their 12 home matches this season and coming off a disappointing 3-1 defeat to Bournemouth, while sitting precariously at the bottom of the table with just nine points.

Brighton, meanwhile, arrive in excellent spirits following an impressive 3-0 victory over Chelsea, where Yankuba Minteh continued his rich vein of form with a brilliant brace.

The head-to-head history between these south coast rivals has heavily favoured Brighton in recent years, with the Seagulls unbeaten in their last six meetings, though the reverse fixture this season ended in a 1-1 draw.

Southampton's task is made more difficult by the absence of several key players, including Taylor Harwood-Bellis and Adam Lallana, though they have managed to find the net in their last five league matches despite their struggles.

Brighton's attacking prowess has been particularly noteworthy, having scored multiple goals in several recent away fixtures, including three at Old Trafford and four at Norwich in the FA Cup.

The Seagulls will have to cope with their own injury concerns, as Lewis Dunk, James Milner, and Igor are all sidelined, but their depth has proven sufficient in recent weeks.

Minteh emerges as a key player to watch, having netted three goals in his last four appearances and showing increasing influence in Brighton's attacking movements.

Given Southampton's defensive frailties at home, where they've conceded 33 goals in just 12 matches, Brighton's potent attack could prove too much for the struggling hosts to handle.

While Southampton's recent scoring record suggests they could find the net, Brighton's superior form and attacking quality make them strong favourites to secure another valuable away victory in their pursuit of European football.

Southampton vs. Brighton betting tips

Brighton to Win & BTTS (1/1)

Brighton @ Southampton

Brighton enter this fixture with impressive momentum following consecutive victories over Chelsea.

Southampton's home form has been particularly poor, with 10 defeats in their last 12 home matches.

The Saints have shown attacking promise by scoring in their last five matches despite their struggles.

Brighton's defence has been somewhat leaky away from home, conceding in eight of their last nine league travels.

The combination of Brighton's attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities makes this bet particularly appealing.

Yankuba Minteh to Score Anytime (3/2)

Brighton @ Southampton

Over 3.5 Goals (6/5)

Brighton @ Southampton

Key stats

1
Southampton sit bottom of the table in 20th with just 9 points, whilst Brighton are 11th with 37 points - a difference of 28 points
2
Brighton's recent form (WLLWW) shows more promise than Southampton's (LWLLL), with Brighton winning 3 of their last 5
3
Brighton have scored twice as many goals (38) as Southampton (19), highlighting a significant attacking difference
4
Southampton have the worst defensive record in the league with 57 goals conceded, whilst Brighton have conceded 38