Brighton's impressive run of form faces a stern test as they prepare to host Bournemouth at the AmEx Stadium, with the Seagulls looking to extend their winning streak to four matches across all competitions following their commanding 4-0 victory over Southampton.

The hosts' attacking prowess has been particularly noteworthy, having netted nine goals in their last three matches, while Bournemouth enter the fixture with defensive concerns following Illia Zabarnyi's suspension and several key injuries to their backline.

Both clubs find themselves in the thick of the European qualification race, with just three points separating sixth-placed Bournemouth from ninth-placed Brighton, making this south coast encounter a potentially pivotal moment in both teams' campaigns.

The Seagulls' recent dominance in this fixture, having won four of the last five meetings between the sides, coupled with Kaoru Mitoma's exceptional form of five goals in his last seven appearances, suggests an intriguing tactical battle lies ahead.

With Brighton's attacking flair meeting Bournemouth's depleted defence, this Premier League clash promises to deliver an entertaining spectacle that could have significant implications for both clubs' European aspirations.

Brighton vs. Bournemouth prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Brighton vs Bournemouth matchup, our predictive model gives the Brighton a 75% chance of defeating the Cherries.

Brighton: 75% win probability

  • Strong recent form (Won 3 of last 5 matches - WWLLW)
  • Superior goal-scoring ability (42 goals scored in 26 matches)
  • Better defensive record (38 goals conceded vs Bournemouth's 30 in 26 matches)

Bournemouth: 25% win probability

  • Lower scoring efficiency (44 goals in 26 matches despite higher league position)
  • Inconsistent away form (Recent form LWLWW shows vulnerability)
  • Points deficit (40 points vs 43 points despite playing same number of matches)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Brighton vs. Bournemouth odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League fixture between hosts Brighton and visitors Bournemouth, set to take place at the Amex Stadium on Tuesday, February 25.

BrightonBournemouthDraw
match-winner11/10 (via Betway UK)9/4 (via Betway UK)13/5 ( via Betway UK)

Brighton vs. Bournemouth preview

A crucial Premier League clash awaits at the AmEx Stadium as high-flying Brighton host Bournemouth in what promises to be an enthralling encounter between two sides vying for European football.

The Seagulls enter the match in scintillating form, having won their last three matches across all competitions, including an impressive 4-0 thrashing of Southampton that showcased their attacking prowess.

Bournemouth, meanwhile, arrive at the AmEx following a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Wolves, with their defensive concerns compounded by the suspension of centre-back Illia Zabarnyi following his red card in that match.

Brighton's attack has been particularly potent of late, netting nine goals in their last three matches, with Kaoru Mitoma emerging as a key threat having scored five goals in his last seven appearances.

The Japanese winger's record against the Cherries is particularly noteworthy, with four goals in his previous four meetings against Tuesday's opponents.

Both sides have significant injury concerns, with Brighton missing several key players including Dunk, Igor, Kadioglu, and Milner, while Bournemouth are without Enes Unal, Julian Araujo, and Marcos Senesi.

The historical head-to-head record favours the home side, with Brighton winning four of the last five encounters between these south coast rivals.

The return to fitness of both Joel Veltman and Danny Welbeck provides a timely boost for the Seagulls, offering manager Fabian Hurzeler additional tactical options.

With Bournemouth's defensive reshuffle forced by Zabarnyi's absence, Brighton's fluid attack could well prove decisive in what shapes up to be a fascinating tactical battle.

Given Brighton's current momentum and Bournemouth's defensive concerns, the Seagulls appear well-positioned to secure their fourth consecutive victory in what should be an entertaining 2-1 triumph.

Brighton vs. Bournemouth betting tips

Brighton to Win (11/10)

Bournemouth @ Brighton

BournemouthBrighton

Kaoru Mitoma to Score Anytime (3/1)

Bournemouth @ Brighton

BournemouthBrighton

Correct Score: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth (8/1)

Bournemouth @ Brighton

BournemouthBrighton

Key stats

  • 1
    Brighton (9th, 40 pts) and Bournemouth (6th, 43 pts) are separated by just 3 points in the table
  • 2
    Brighton's recent form (WWLLW) shows more inconsistency compared to Bournemouth's stronger run (LWLWW)
  • 3
    Brighton have scored 42 goals whilst conceding 38, compared to Bournemouth's 44 scored and 30 conceded
  • 4
    Bournemouth have the better defensive record, conceding 8 fewer goals than Brighton this season

Brighton vs. Bournemouth form

Brighton
Brighton
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Feb 22, 2025
Southampton0:4Brighton
Feb 14, 2025
Chelsea0:3Brighton
Feb 8, 2025
Chelsea1:2Brighton
Feb 1, 2025
Nottingham Forest7:0Brighton
Jan 25, 2025
Everton1:0Brighton
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Feb 22, 2025
Wolverhampton Wanderers1:0Bournemouth
Feb 15, 2025
Southampton1:3Bournemouth
Feb 8, 2025
Everton0:2Bournemouth
Feb 1, 2025
Liverpool2:0Bournemouth
Jan 25, 2025
Nottingham Forest0:5Bournemouth

Brighton vs. Bournemouth head to head

Brighton

67%

Bournemouth

33%

Nov 23, 2024

Bournemouth

1 : 2

Brighton

Apr 28, 2024

Bournemouth

3 : 0

Brighton

Sep 24, 2023

Brighton

3 : 1

Bournemouth

Apr 4, 2023

Bournemouth

0 : 2

Brighton

Feb 4, 2023

Brighton

1 : 0

Bournemouth

Jan 21, 2020

Bournemouth

3 : 1

Brighton