Chelsea welcome bottom-placed Southampton to Stamford Bridge in a Premier League clash that sees the Blues looking to bounce back from three consecutive defeats across all competitions.

While Chelsea have maintained impressive home form, losing just once in their last 17 matches at Stamford Bridge, they enter this fixture with several key players sidelined including Nicolas Jackson, Noni Madueke, and Wesley Fofana.

The Saints arrive in London having lost eight of their last nine Premier League matches, including a heavy 4-0 defeat to Brighton, though they did manage to score in each of their last four away fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides have produced plenty of goals, with their most recent encounter ending in a convincing 5-1 victory for Chelsea at St Mary's.

With Chelsea's strong home record facing Southampton's defensive struggles, which have seen them concede three or more goals in their last six Premier League defeats, this match promises to be an intriguing midweek encounter at the Bridge.

Chelsea vs. Southampton prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Chelsea vs Southampton matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 78.33% chance of defeating the Saints.

Chelsea: 78.33% win probability

  • Potent attack (48 goals scored in 26 matches)
  • Strong league position (7th place with 43 points)
  • Solid defensive record (36 goals conceded, better than league average)

Southampton: 21.67% win probability

  • League's worst defensive record (61 goals conceded in 26 matches)
  • Poor attacking output (19 goals scored, lowest in the league)
  • Dreadful form (21 losses in 26 matches, only 2 wins all season)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Chelsea vs. Southampton odds

Here are the latest odds for this Premier League fixture as Chelsea welcome Southampton to Stamford Bridge on Tuesday, February 25.

ChelseaSouthamptonDraw
match-winner17/100 (via Betway UK)11/1 (via Betway UK)7/1 ( via Betway UK)

Chelsea vs. Southampton preview

Chelsea welcome struggling Southampton to Stamford Bridge in what promises to be a crucial Premier League clash, with both sides desperate to reverse their recent poor form.

The Blues enter this fixture on the back of three consecutive defeats, though their home record remains impressive with just one loss in their last 17 matches at the Bridge.

Southampton's dire situation at the bottom of the table, with merely nine points to their name, has been compounded by a devastating 4-0 defeat to Brighton, marking their eighth loss in nine Premier League outings.

Chelsea's injury woes continue to mount, with key players including Nicolas Jackson, Noni Madueke, and Benoît Badiashile all sidelined, though Trevor Chalobah is expected to be fit despite a recent injury scare.

Enzo Fernandez, who found the net in Chelsea's 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa, looks set to continue in an advanced role and could prove crucial to the Blues' attacking endeavours.

The previous meeting between these sides saw Chelsea emerge as emphatic 5-1 victors at St Mary's, with Cole Palmer and Jadon Sancho among the scorers.

Despite their struggles, Southampton have managed to score in their last four away fixtures and memorably won their previous visit to Stamford Bridge in February 2023.

Chelsea's defensive fragility, having kept just one clean sheet in their last 11 matches across all competitions, suggests the Saints might find the net despite their lowly position.

However, with Southampton shipping three or more goals in each of their last six Premier League defeats, Chelsea should have enough firepower to secure a comfortable victory.

A 3-1 scoreline appears likely as Chelsea look to capitalise on their strong home form and push towards their top-four aspirations, while Southampton continue their battle against relegation.

Chelsea vs. Southampton betting tips

Chelsea and Both Teams To Score (13/10)

Southampton @ Chelsea

SouthamptonChelsea

Enzo Fernandez To Have 1+ Shots On Target (19/20)

Southampton @ Chelsea

SouthamptonChelsea

Moises Caicedo To Be Shown A Card (11/10)

Southampton @ Chelsea

SouthamptonChelsea

Key stats

  • 1
    Chelsea (7th) sit 34 points ahead of bottom-placed Southampton (20th) in the league table
  • 2
    Chelsea's recent form (LLWLW) shows more promise than Southampton's (LLWLL)
  • 3
    Chelsea have scored more than twice as many goals (48) as Southampton (19) this season
  • 4
    Southampton have the worst defensive record in the league, conceding 61 goals compared to Chelsea's 36

Chelsea vs. Southampton form

Chelsea
Chelsea
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Feb 22, 2025
Aston Villa2:1Chelsea
Feb 14, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion3:0Chelsea
Feb 8, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion2:1Chelsea
Feb 3, 2025
West Ham United1:2Chelsea
Jan 25, 2025
Manchester City3:1Chelsea
Southampton
Southampton
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Feb 22, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion4:0Southampton
Feb 15, 2025
AFC Bournemouth3:1Southampton
Feb 8, 2025
Burnley1:0Southampton
Feb 1, 2025
Ipswich Town1:2Southampton
Jan 25, 2025
Newcastle United3:1Southampton

Chelsea vs. Southampton head to head

Chelsea

60%

Southampton

40%

Dec 4, 2024

Southampton

1 : 5

Chelsea

Feb 18, 2023

Chelsea

0 : 1

Southampton

Aug 30, 2022

Southampton

2 : 1

Chelsea

Apr 9, 2022

Southampton

0 : 6

Chelsea

Oct 26, 2021

Chelsea

1 : 1

Southampton

Oct 2, 2021

Chelsea

3 : 1

Southampton