Nottingham vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Nottingham Forest welcome Arsenal to the City Ground for a crucial Premier League clash, with the hosts boasting an impressive record of six wins and one draw in their last seven home fixtures.

The Gunners arrive in Nottingham struggling with significant injury concerns, missing key attackers Gabriel Jesus, Bukayo Saka, and Gabriel Martinelli, while Forest's Chris Wood looks to continue his remarkable home scoring form having netted ten times at the City Ground this season.

Forest's formidable home record, where they've lost just twice all season, sets up an intriguing battle against an Arsenal side that has won only 42% of their away matches this campaign, suggesting this midweek encounter could prove to be a tighter affair than the reverse fixture's 3-0 Arsenal victory.

With Forest's recent 4-3 defeat at Newcastle highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities and Arsenal coming off a disappointing loss to West Ham, both sides will be desperate to bounce back in what promises to be a compelling Premier League matchup.

Nottingham vs. Arsenal prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Nottingham vs Arsenal matchup, our predictive model gives Arsenal a 52.5% chance of defeating Forest.

Arsenal: 52.5% win probability

Superior goal difference (+28 compared to Nottingham's +11)
Better defensive record (23 goals conceded vs 33)
Higher points per game ratio (2.04 vs 1.81)

Nottingham: 47.5% win probability

Lower scoring efficiency (44 goals in 26 matches vs Arsenal's 51)
Inconsistent recent form (LLWLW with 3 losses in last 5)
Higher goals conceded per game (1.27 vs Arsenal's 0.88)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Nottingham vs. Arsenal odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League fixture between hosts Nottingham and visitors Arsenal, set to clash at the City Ground on Wednesday, February 26.

	Nottingham	Arsenal	Draw
match-winner	11/4 (via Betway UK)	1/1 (via Betway UK)	12/5 ( via Betway UK)

Nottingham vs. Arsenal preview

The City Ground is set to host a compelling Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal in Round 27, with both sides looking to bounce back from recent setbacks.

The Tricky Trees, who suffered a thrilling 4-3 defeat at Newcastle United, return to their fortress where they've been remarkably strong this season, winning six and drawing one of their last seven home fixtures.

Arsenal's title aspirations took a significant blow following their disappointing loss to West Ham United, leaving them with only a 42% win rate in away matches this season.

The home side's striking sensation Chris Wood will be one to watch, having netted an impressive ten goals at The City Ground this season, including eight strikes in his last eight Premier League appearances.

The Gunners face significant selection challenges with several key players sidelined, including Gabriel Jesus, Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Kai Havertz, and Takehiro Tomiyasu, while Myles Lewis-Skelly is suspended.

Forest manager Nuno Espírito Santo will be relatively fortunate with injuries, missing only goalkeeper Carlos Miguel, as his side aims to maintain their impressive home record.

Historical context adds intrigue to this fixture, with Arsenal winning four of the last six meetings between these sides, including a commanding 3-0 victory in their most recent encounter last November.

However, Forest's remarkable home form this season, including a notable draw against league-leaders Liverpool, suggests they could pose a serious challenge to the struggling Gunners.

With Arsenal's depleted squad and Forest's home advantage, this match promises to be a closely contested affair that could well end in a sharing of the spoils.

Nottingham vs. Arsenal betting tips

Nottingham Forest Double Chance (Win or Draw) (17/20)

Arsenal @ Nottingham

Nottingham Forest's impressive home record this season cannot be overlooked, with only two competitive losses at The City Ground.

The hosts have shown remarkable consistency at home, winning six and drawing one of their last seven matches.

Arsenal's away form has been questionable, failing to secure victory in eight of their 19 road fixtures this term.

The Gunners' recent struggles away from the Emirates add weight to Forest's chances of getting something from this match.

With Forest's robust home defence and Arsenal's occasional away day struggles, the double chance offers excellent value.

Correct Score 1-1 (11/2)

Arsenal @ Nottingham

Arsenal's away matches have frequently ended in stalemates this season, with five draws from their eight winless away games.

The Gunners' last two away draws have both finished 1-1, establishing a clear pattern.

Forest recently held Liverpool to a 1-1 draw at home, demonstrating their ability to compete with top opposition.

The hosts have shown they can both score and defend effectively at The City Ground.

Historical data suggests this scoreline is particularly likely given both teams' recent form and head-to-head patterns.

Chris Wood to Score Anytime (11/4)

Arsenal @ Nottingham

Chris Wood has been in phenomenal form, contributing eight goals and three assists in his last eight league appearances.

The striker's home record is particularly impressive, with ten of his 18 Premier League goals coming at The City Ground.

Wood's recent assist at the weekend shows he's actively involved in Forest's attacking play.

His aerial presence and positioning make him a constant threat against any opposition.

The striker's confidence is at a peak, making him a prime candidate to find the net in this fixture.

Key stats

1
Arsenal (2nd) sit 6 points ahead of Nottingham (3rd) with a game in hand
2
Arsenal's goal difference is +28 compared to Nottingham's +11
3
Arsenal's recent form (LWWWD) shows better consistency than Nottingham's (LLWLW)
4
Arsenal have scored more goals (51) whilst conceding fewer (23) than Nottingham (44 scored, 33 conceded)