It’s FA Cup weekend, and there are lots of games for fans and bettors alike to enjoy, including one on the south coast, which sees Bournemouth and Wolves lock horns at Vitality Stadium, and not for the first time this month.
Having played each other in the league last weekend, for the second Saturday in a row, the pair will meet at Vitality Stadium, where the Cherries will be hoping to atone for last week’s narrow defeat. Read on for our Bournemouth vs Wolves betting tips and best value bets.
Bournemouth vs Wolves betting odds
Ahead of this game, the table below shows the probabilities implied by the odds for a selection of markets, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences to indicate whether there’s value or not on offer.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth to Win | 4/5 | 55.6% | 48.7% | -6.9% |
Wolves to Win | 16/5 | 23.8% | 24.1% | +0.3% |
Draw | 3/1 | 25.0% | 27.2% | +2.2% |
Both Teams to Score | 8/13 | 61.9% | 56.9% | -5.0% |
Both Teams to Score - NO | 5/4 | 44.4% | 43.1% | -1.3% |
Over 2.5 Goals | 8/13 | 61.9% | 59.4% | -2.5% |
Under 2.5 Goals | 5/4 | 44.4% | 40.6% | -3.8% |
Bournemouth vs Wolves value betting tips
This game takes place on 01/03/2025 at Vitality Stadium. Kick off will be at GMT.
Two player bets, both of which favour the visitors, appeal from a value point of view as these two clash for the second time in a week.
Pablo Sarabia Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Far from overly deployed of late, the vastly experienced Pablo Sarabia looks likely to return to the starting XI on Saturday, with Wolves boss Vitor Pereira looking to keep his squad as fresh as possible following mid-week action.
Injury has kept the Spaniard out for much of the campaign, but he’s now been fit for a while and should have a fairly significant part to play in the final few months of the campaign, starting here.
When Sarabia has played, he’s been reasonably effective, getting on the ball in the final third and always trying to make something happen. From a shooting point of view, he’s been quite active, averaging 1.99 shots per 90 minutes, while he’s been accurate too, averaging 1.09 shots on target.
We know that this Wolves team can cause the Cherries problems, we saw that last week, as they not only created several chances, but registered five shots on target, hitting the woodwork too.
Jorgen Strand Larsen to Score
Much like Sarabia, Jorgen Strand Larsen, who has twice entered the game as a substitute following a minor injury, is also expected to feature from the start at Vitality Stadium. If he does, and if odds of 3/1 remain available, then he’ll definitely go down as a value scorer bet in my book.
I put the Norwegian up to find the net in the week. He didn’t start, and he didn’t score when he came on, with Wolves being downed on home soil by Fulham, but again, we saw the Old Gold create openings in that game. If they can do that here, and he’s on the pitch, I really won’t be surprised to see Strand Larsen find the net.
After all, this is a man that averages 0.33 goals per 90 minutes this season, producing an average of 0.30 xG per 90 too. Moreover, when he has started in recent times, the forward has been no stranger to hitting the target, registering eight shots on target in his last seven starts.
Recap - Bournemouth vs Wolves best value bets
The table below shows the odds available for our value betting tips at the time of writing, as well as what I consider to be fair odds for these selections. It’s important to note that to take value, you should be taking odds that are bigger than the fair odds. If bigger odds are not available, then there’s no value, which means no bet.
Bet | Odds available | Fair odds | Value (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Pablo Sarabia Over 0.5 Shots on Target | EVS (2.00) | 10/11 (1.91) | +2.4% |
Jorgen Stand Larsen to Score | 3/1 (4.00) | 12/5 (3.40) | +4.4% |
To recap, our best value bets ahead of this Premier League fixture are:
Pablo Sarabia Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ EVS with BoyleSports
Jorgen Strand Larsen to Score @ 3/1 with BoyleSports
More FA Cup betting tips:
If you're betting on football competitions such as the FA Cup using a mobile device, it's important to ensure that you're using a safe a secure app. To help you along, check out our guide to the best football betting apps.
Author

With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
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