On Saturday, after the usual cluster of 15:00 games, there are two evening fixtures for Premier League bettors to consider, starting with a game in West London, where Brentford and Aston Villa will get down to business.
Having had longer to rest and prepare for this fixture, the Bees will surely fancy themselves to sting a Villa side that played away from home in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday evening. Read on for our Brentford vs Aston Villa betting tips and best value bets.
Brentford vs Aston Villa betting odds
Ahead of this game, the table below shows the probabilities implied by the odds for a selection of markets, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences to indicate whether there’s value or not on offer.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brentford to Win | 13/10 | 43.5% | 44.4% | +1.1% |
Aston Villa to Win | 15/8 | 34.8% | 28.8% | -6.0% |
Draw | 3/1 | 25.0% | 26.8% | +1.8% |
Both Teams to Score | 4/9 | 69.4% | 62.4% | -7.0% |
Both Teams to Score - NO | 7/4 | 36.4% | 37.6% | +0.2% |
Over 2.5 Goals | 1/2 | 66.7% | 63.3% | -3.4% |
Under 2.5 Goals | 6/4 | 40.0% | 36.7% | -2.3% |
Brentford vs Aston Villa value betting tips
This game takes place on 08/08/2025 at Brentford Community Stadium Kick off will be at 17:30 GMT.
From a value point of view, one player bet stands out ahead of Saturday’s action at Brentford Community Stadium.
Mikkel Damsgaard Over 0.5 Assists
For the Bees this season, much of the plaudits have gone the way of Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo, who between them have scored the bulk of Brentford’s Premier League goals, so it’s not easy to argue with that.
However, because of the attention that the two goal-getters have received, Mikkel Damsgaard probably hasn’t received the crest that he deserves, and let’s be honest, the Dane deserves plenty of credit for his creative mastery in a Brentford shirt this season.
It took Damsgaard a while to come to the boil for the Bees, but he’s now buzzing with purpose, creating lots of chances, registering regular assists. Let’s be honest, this season, few players have pulled the strings in such a tangible way, not just for Brentford, but in the Premier League in general.
The 24-year-old is one of just four players to have reached double figures for assists this season, while only Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has provided more goals than the Danish international, who averages 0.44 assists per 90 minutes. That stat alone makes odds of 9/2 look generous.
In addition to easily being Brentford’s top man in terms of assists this season, Damsgaard also easily ranks as their brightest player when it comes to key passes (= passes leading directly to a shot) and (the more self explanatory) final-third passes. Oh, and he’s also the Bees’ most prolific crosser too.
Quite simply, we’re talking about a man who is creating plenty, both home and away, and as his team look to put the pressure on against a potentially tired opponent that was called into midweek action on the continent, Mikkel Damsgaard can once again play a key role.
Let’s be honest, given everything we know about the Dane and how he’s performed this season, odds of 9/2 really look too big.
Recap - Brentford vs Aston Villa best value bets
The table below shows the odds available for our value betting tips at the time of writing, as well as what I consider to be fair odds for these selections. It’s important to note that to take value, you should be taking odds that are bigger than the fair odds. If bigger odds are not available, then there’s no value, which means no bet.
Bet | Odds available | Fair odds | Value (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
Mikkel Damsgaard Over 0.5 Assists | 9/2 | 7/2 | +4.0% |
To recap, our best value bets ahead of this Premier League fixture are:
Mikkel Damsgaard Over 0.5 Assists @ 9/2 with BoyleSports
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Author
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
