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One of Sunday’s early UEFA Nations League kick-offs sees Hungary and Turkey do battle at Puskas Arena in the city of Budapest.
Just a few nights ago, these two met in Istanbul, where the Hungarians worked hard to keep themselves in the tie, though the Turks proved to have too much in the locker on home soil, eventually winning by three goals to one. Can they finish the job? Or will the hosts be able to turn the tide? Read on for our Hungary vs Turkey betting tips and best value bets.
Hungary vs Turkey betting odds
Ahead of this game, the table below shows the probabilities implied by the odds for a selection of markets, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences to indicate whether there’s value or not on offer.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hungary to Win | 6/4 | 40.0% | 36.4% | -3.6% |
Turkey to Win | 13/8 | 38.1% | 34.3% | -3.8% |
Draw | 13/5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | +1.5% |
Both Teams to Score | 8/11 | 57.9% | 54.6% | -3.3% |
Both Teams to Score - NO | EVS | 50.0% | 45.4% | -3.6% |
Over 2.5 Goals | 10/11 | 52.4% | 48.6% | -3.8% |
Under 2.5 Goals | 5/6 | 54.5% | 51.4% | -2.9% |
Hungary vs Turkey value betting tips
This game is due to take place on 23/03/2025 at Puskas Arena in Budapest. Kick off will be at 17:00 GMT.
Ahead of the action in the Hungarian capital on Sunday evening, the following bets appeal from a value point of view:
Barnabas Varga to Score
The unlucky recipient of a heavy clash at the European Championships last summer, which left him hospitalised and out of action for a while, Barnabas Varga has had a relatively quiet UEFA Nations League campaign in terms of goals, but don’t be too surprised if the forward springs into action in front of a home crowd on Sunday evening.
Sure, Varga is yet to score during the current Nations League tournament, but he’s delivered some lively performances, especially at home, where he certainly hasn’t been shy to pull the trigger, shooting three times against the Germans when last in action on home soil, registering two shots on target.
During this campaign, we’ve seen the Ferencvaros forward take no less than ten shots in three home games, registering a total of five shots on target. That’s an average of 3.33 shots per home game, as well as an average of 1.66 shots on target.
We know that the hosts cannot afford to sit back in this game, which means that the likes of Milos Kerkez and Dominik Szoboszlai will be looking to create, especially from wide areas, producing crosses and passes into the box, which is exactly what Barnabas Varga feeds off.
Given his previous shooting efforts at home during the tournament, Varga could easily be a little shorter to find the net, meaning that odds of 9/4 are worth taking.
Recap - Hungary vs Turkey best value bets
The table below shows the odds available for our value betting tips at the time of writing, as well as what I consider to be fair odds for these selections. It’s important to note that to take value, you should be taking odds that are bigger than the fair odds. If bigger odds are not available, then there’s no value, which means no bet.
Bet | Odds available | Fair odds | Value (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
Barnabas Varga to Score | 9/4 | 2/1 | +2.5% |
To recap, our best value bets ahead of this UEFA Nations League fixture are:
Barnabas Varga to Score @ 9/4 with BoyleSports
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More UEFA Nations League betting tips:
If you're betting on football competitions such as the UEFA Nations League using a mobile device, it's important to ensure that you're using a safe a secure app. To help you along, check out our guide to the best football betting apps.
Author
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and tipster specialising in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
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