Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Chelsea's grip on their top-four spot has loosened considerably since mid-December, yet they're seeking a sixth consecutive home victory at Stamford Bridge where they've proven nearly impenetrable lately.

Tottenham, sitting uncomfortably in 14th place, have shown flashes of improvement with the return of key defenders Romero and Van de Ven, but their troubling away record against the Blues (winless in their last six visits) suggests an uphill battle.

Both sides enter Thursday's clash in patchy form, setting the stage for what could be another goal-filled London derby between Chelsea vs Tottenham.

Chelsea vs. Tottenham prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Chelsea vs Tottenham matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 77.5% chance of defeating the Spurs.

Chelsea: 77.5% win probability

Superior offensive output (53 goals scored this season, 4 more than Tottenham)
Better league position (6th place with 49 points compared to Tottenham's 14th place with 34 points)
Stronger recent form (LWWLL showing 3 wins in last 5 matches versus Tottenham's LDLWW with only 2 wins)

Tottenham: 22.5% win probability

Poor defensive record (43 goals conceded, significantly worse than top teams)
Inconsistent away performance (14th in the table with just 34 points after 29 matches)
Alarming loss record (15 defeats already this season, more than any team in the top half)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Chelsea vs. Tottenham odds

Here are the latest odds as Chelsea host Tottenham at Stamford Bridge in a highly anticipated Premier League clash on Thursday, April 03.

	Chelsea	Tottenham	Draw
Match Result	67/100 (via Betway UK)	16/5 (via Betway UK)	7/2 ( via Betway UK)

Chelsea vs. Tottenham preview

Thursday's London derby at Stamford Bridge presents a clash of two inconsistent sides, with fourth-placed Chelsea looking to bounce back from their 1-0 defeat to Arsenal while Spurs aim to recover from a disappointing 2-0 loss to Fulham.

The Blues boast an impressive home record, seeking their sixth consecutive win at the Bridge, but their recent Premier League form raises questions – they've won just four of their last 13 league matches, all against bottom-five teams.

Spurs' defensive reinforcements could prove crucial, with Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven now fit, though they'll miss key attacking threat Dejan Kulusevski through injury.

History favors the hosts in this fixture as Chelsea remain unbeaten against Tottenham in their last three league meetings, while Spurs haven't won at Stamford Bridge in their last six attempts.

Cole Palmer, who netted twice in Chelsea's 4-3 win at Tottenham earlier this season, remains the danger man for the Blues if he's fit for Thursday's clash.

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Spurs conceding in each of their last six matches and Chelsea seeing both teams score in ten of their 14 home league games.

The midfield battle could be decisive, with Enzo Fernandez – fresh from scoring for Argentina – looking to find the net against Spurs for the second time this season.

Despite Chelsea being favorites, don't be shocked if this ends all square – neither side has shown the consistency needed to confidently back a winner in what promises to be another entertaining chapter in this fierce London rivalry.

Chelsea vs. Tottenham betting tips

Draw (7/2)

Tottenham @ Chelsea

Tottenham have shown improved form with the return of key players from injury, losing just two of their last six Premier League matches.

Chelsea's recent league wins have only come against bottom-five sides, suggesting they struggle against stronger opposition.

Both London rivals have displayed inconsistent form lately, making this derby a prime candidate for points being shared.

The tactical chess match between these two sides often results in closely contested affairs where neither team can establish clear dominance.

With both teams having something to prove but lacking the killer instinct in recent fixtures, a stalemate looks increasingly likely.

Draw 1-1 (10/1)

Tottenham @ Chelsea

Goals will feature in this London derby as Tottenham have found the net in four of their last five Premier League away fixtures.

The 'both teams to score' market has paid out in ten of Chelsea's home league matches this season, showing their defensive vulnerabilities.

A scoring draw represents the most probable outcome when considering the attacking capabilities and defensive frailties of both sides.

Neither team has shown the clinical edge needed to kill off games, often allowing opponents back into matches.

The scoreline reflects the balanced nature of this fixture with both teams likely to cancel each other out.

Moises Caicedo To Be Shown A Card (36/1)

Tottenham @ Chelsea

Chelsea midfielder Moises Caicedo has accumulated five yellow cards in his last eight league appearances, showing his tendency for ill-timed challenges.

The Ecuador international averages 2.0 fouls per game in the Premier League, putting him at high risk for disciplinary action.

Caicedo has already collected 10 bookings across all competitions this season, establishing himself as a card magnet.

The high-intensity nature of this London derby will likely see the combative midfielder making aggressive challenges in the middle of the park.

His role as Chelsea's enforcer in midfield often places him in situations where tactical fouls become necessary.

Key stats

1
Chelsea (6th) has a better league position than Tottenham (14th), with 49 points compared to Tottenham's 34 points
2
Chelsea's recent form (LWWLL) shows inconsistency, while Tottenham (LDLWW) has won their last two matches
3
Chelsea has played one more match (29) than Tottenham (29), potentially affecting the points gap
4
Despite being 8 positions lower, Tottenham has scored more goals (55) than Chelsea (53), suggesting an attacking threat