Villa Park will be buzzing this weekend as an unstoppable Aston Villa, riding a remarkable six-match winning streak, face a Nottingham Forest side enjoying their own stellar season with Champions League qualification within reach.

Marco Asensio could prove the difference-maker for the hosts after netting four goals in his last five matches, though Forest's formidable away record and recent victories over both Manchester clubs suggest they shouldn't be underestimated.

Something must give when Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest kicks off in what promises to be a fiercely contested Midlands derby.

Aston Villa vs. Nottingham prediction: who will win?

For this afternoon's Aston Villa vs Nottingham matchup, our predictive model gives the Forest a 77.5% chance of defeating the Villa.

Nottingham: 77.5% win probability

  • Impressive league position (Currently 3rd with 57 points from 30 matches)
  • Strong recent form (WWWDL - won 3 of their last 5 matches)
  • Solid defensive record (Conceded just 35 goals this season, 10 fewer than Aston Villa)

Aston Villa: 22.5% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent performances (WWLWD - mixed results in their last five matches)
  • Defensive vulnerability (Conceded 45 goals this season, 10 more than Nottingham)
  • Lower league position (7th place with 48 points, 9 points behind Nottingham)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Aston Villa vs. Nottingham odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham, as the hosts look to secure a home victory at Villa Park on Saturday, April 05.

Aston VillaNottinghamDraw
Match Result1/1 (via William Hill)13/5 (via William Hill)13/5 ( via William Hill)

Aston Villa vs. Nottingham preview

Villa Park is set to crackle with anticipation this Saturday as red-hot Aston Villa welcome a surprisingly formidable Nottingham Forest side in what promises to be a riveting Premier League clash.

The Villans are absolutely flying under Emery's guidance, riding a seven-game winning streak across all competitions, including three consecutive 3-0 victories that showcase their newfound attacking flair.

Marco Asensio has been nothing short of phenomenal since his January arrival, with the Spaniard netting four goals in his last five matches and likely to cause Forest's defense headaches throughout the evening.

Forest, despite being traditional underdogs, have quietly assembled a remarkable campaign and find themselves on track for an improbable Champions League qualification spot – quite the renaissance for a club with such storied European history.

History doesn't bode well for the visitors though, as they've failed to defeat Villa away from home in their last eight league encounters, creating a psychological hurdle they'll need to overcome.

The January reinforcements have transformed Villa's attacking prowess, with Asensio, Rashford and Malen giving Emery's side a clinical edge that's seen them bag 13 goals in their last six outings.

Forest's defensive record shows a telling split – rock solid at home but considerably more vulnerable on their travels, having shipped 25 away goals compared to just ten at the City Ground.

While both sides have FA Cup semi-finals on the horizon, expect no holding back in this Midlands derby where Villa's home fortress mentality (unbeaten in 14 league matches) might just give them the edge in what could be a tight but entertaining affair.

Aston Villa vs. Nottingham betting tips

Aston Villa to Win and Over 2.5 Goals (1/1)

Nottingham @ Aston Villa

NottinghamAston Villa

Marco Asensio to Score Anytime (11/10)

Nottingham @ Aston Villa

NottinghamAston Villa

Aston Villa to Win 2-1 (15/2)

Nottingham @ Aston Villa

NottinghamAston Villa

Ryan Yates to be Shown a Card (5/4)

Nottingham @ Aston Villa

NottinghamAston Villa

Key stats

  • 1
    Nottingham sits in 3rd place with 57 points, while Aston Villa is 7th with 48 points - a significant 9-point gap between the clubs
  • 2
    Nottingham's recent form (WWWDL) is slightly stronger than Aston Villa's (WWLWD), with both teams winning 3 of their last 5 matches
  • 3
    Villa has scored fewer goals (44) than Nottingham (50), but has conceded the same number (45 each), giving Nottingham a better goal difference
  • 4
    Nottingham has won 17 matches this season compared to Villa's 13, though Villa has drawn more games (9 vs 6)

Aston Villa vs. Nottingham form

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Apr 2, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion0:3Aston Villa
Mar 30, 2025
Preston North End0:3Aston Villa
Mar 12, 2025
Club Brugge0:3Aston Villa
Mar 8, 2025
Brentford0:1Aston Villa
Mar 4, 2025
Club Brugge1:3Aston Villa
Nottingham
Nottingham
Latest matches
W
D
W
W
D
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Apr 1, 2025
Manchester United0:1Nottingham
Mar 29, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion0:0Nottingham
Mar 15, 2025
Ipswich Town2:4Nottingham
Mar 8, 2025
Manchester City0:1Nottingham
Mar 3, 2025
Ipswich Town1:1Nottingham

Aston Villa vs. Nottingham head to head

Aston Villa

60%

Nottingham

40%

Dec 14, 2024

Nottingham

2 : 1

Aston Villa

Feb 24, 2024

Aston Villa

4 : 2

Nottingham

Nov 5, 2023

Nottingham

2 : 0

Aston Villa

Apr 8, 2023

Aston Villa

2 : 0

Nottingham

Oct 10, 2022

Nottingham

1 : 1

Aston Villa

Mar 13, 2019

Nottingham

1 : 3

Aston Villa