With seven wins from their last nine matches, Crystal Palace enter Saturday's clash against Brighton with sky-high confidence despite their late equalizer against Southampton feeling more like dropped points than a rescued draw.
The visiting Seagulls, meanwhile, are licking their wounds after a 3-0 drubbing by Aston Villa – their second consecutive match without finding the net and extending their winless run to three games.
Both sides have everything to play for with only four points separating Brighton in eighth from a top-four spot as the home team Crystal Palace host away team Brighton in what promises to be another fiery episode of this increasingly tense rivalry.
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton prediction: who will win?
For today's Crystal Palace vs Brighton matchup, our predictive model gives the Eagles a 75% chance of defeating the Seagulls.
Crystal Palace: 75% win probability
- Excellent recent form (DWWWL - 10 points from last 5 matches)
- Strong defensive record (Only 34 goals conceded in 29 matches)
- Home advantage with momentum building (3 wins in last 4 matches)
Brighton: 25% win probability
- Vulnerable defense (45 goals conceded - joint 7th worst in the league)
- Inconsistent results despite recent upturn (11 draws overall - most in the league)
- Struggle to convert chances into wins (Only 12 wins from 30 matches despite scoring 48 goals)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton odds
Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between Crystal Palace, who will host Brighton at Selhurst Park on Saturday, April 05.
Crystal Palace | Brighton | Draw | |
---|---|---|---|
Match Result | 3/2 (via Betway UK) | 19/10 (via William Hill) | 23/10 ( via William Hill) |
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton preview
The M23 derby between Crystal Palace and Brighton is set to reignite their fierce rivalry this Saturday at Selhurst Park, with both mid-table sides desperate to claim bragging rights in this emotionally-charged fixture.
Palace enter the clash in red-hot form, having won seven of their last nine competitive matches and riding a six-game unbeaten streak, though they'll be kicking themselves after Matheus França's last-gasp equalizer against Southampton spared their blushes midweek.
The Eagles' home form has been particularly impressive, with three consecutive victories at Selhurst Park suggesting they'll fancy their chances against their seaside rivals.
Brighton, meanwhile, are licking their wounds after a comprehensive 3-0 defeat to Aston Villa, making it three matches without a win and raising serious questions about Fabian Hürzeler's squad as their season threatens to fizzle out.
The Seagulls' injury crisis hasn't helped matters, with Tariq Lamptey, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, James Milner and Igor all sidelined for the trip to South London.
Palace's attacking spark Eberechi Eze will be looking to exploit these defensive gaps, while the return of Will Hughes from suspension offers Glasner another option in midfield.
Recent meetings between these rivals have delivered goals – their last six clashes averaging 2.67 goals per game – and with Palace finding the net in each of their last six matches while Brighton have seen at least three goals in five of their last six games, neutrals could be in for a treat.
Given Palace's current momentum and Brighton's concerning form slide, the Eagles might just edge this emotionally-charged derby in front of their vociferous home support, though the unpredictable nature of this rivalry means nothing is certain.
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton betting tips
Crystal Palace to Win (13/8)
Brighton @ Crystal Palace


Crystal Palace 1-0 Correct Score (11/1)
Brighton @ Crystal Palace


Under 2.5 Goals (4/5)
Brighton @ Crystal Palace


Key stats
- 1Crystal Palace (12th) is only 1 position behind Brighton (8th) despite having 7 fewer points
- 2Crystal Palace's recent form (DWWWL) is stronger than Brighton's (LDWWW) despite playing one match fewer
- 3Brighton has conceded the same number of goals as Villa (45) but scored 4 more goals this season
- 4Crystal Palace has the best defensive record (34 goals conceded) among all teams outside the top 5
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton form


Crystal Palace vs. Brighton head to head
Crystal Palace
33%
Brighton
67%
Dec 15, 2024
Brighton
1 : 3
Crystal Palace
Feb 3, 2024
Brighton
4 : 1
Crystal Palace
Dec 21, 2023
Crystal Palace
1 : 1
Brighton
Mar 15, 2023
Brighton
1 : 0
Crystal Palace
Feb 11, 2023
Crystal Palace
1 : 1
Brighton
Jan 14, 2022
Brighton
1 : 1
Crystal Palace
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