Premier League Betting Tips & Expert Advice for Saturday 5th April

David Moyes has brought a renewed sense of resilience to Everton since his return in January, with the Toffees losing just three times under his guidance. Their home form at Goodison Park has been particularly impressive, with an unbeaten streak now stretching to five Premier League matches. This fortress mentality makes them a tricky proposition for any visitor, even one with title aspirations.

Arsenal arrive at Goodison with their eyes potentially wandering toward their massive Champions League clash with Real Madrid looming midweek. Mikel Arteta faces the classic balancing act of prioritizing competitions, and while he'll insist the focus is solely on Everton, human nature suggests otherwise. The Gunners' recent away form raises further questions, having failed to win three of their last five road matches.

The tactical approach from Moyes will likely frustrate Arsenal. Expect Everton to employ a compact, disciplined defensive shape, forcing Arsenal to break them down while remaining dangerous on the counter. This contains echoes of their stubborn performances against other big sides this season, where they've repeatedly punched above their weight.

Historically, Goodison Park has often been a difficult hunting ground for Arsenal, with the hostile atmosphere creating an environment where the home side can raise their game. The late Saturday kick-off time only enhances this advantage, with the crowd fully energized and creating that famous bearpit atmosphere that has rattled many a visiting side.

The timing couldn't be better for Everton to cause an upset. With Arsenal caught between the dual priorities of a title race and Champions League quarter-final, the Toffees can capitalize on any lack of focus. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has shown signs of returning to form, and if he can win his physical battle with Arsenal's defenders, Everton stand an excellent chance of taking something from this game.

When you factor in Arsenal's recent 1-1 draw at Manchester United showing vulnerabilities on the road, there's genuine value in backing Everton to avoid defeat here. The Double Chance market provides that cushion, allowing for either an Everton win or the draw, both of which seem entirely plausible outcomes given the context surrounding this fixture.

Aston Villa are riding a wave of incredible form, having strung together six consecutive victories across all competitions. Unai Emery's men have been particularly formidable at Villa Park, turning their home ground into a fortress that few teams have managed to breach this season. Their attacking verve, combined with tactical flexibility, makes them a dangerous proposition for any visiting side.

Nottingham Forest, despite their commendable performances this season, have struggled on their travels. Five of their seven league defeats have come away from the City Ground, highlighting a considerable vulnerability when they're forced to play outside their comfort zone. This weakness could be ruthlessly exposed by a Villa side brimming with confidence and attacking talent.

The midlands derby element adds extra spice to this encounter, but Villa's superior quality should ultimately shine through. The home side's attacking arsenal featuring Ollie Watkins, Leon Bailey, and the in-form Marco Asensio gives them multiple threats that Forest's defence will struggle to contain for the full ninety minutes. Expect Villa to control possession and territory, gradually wearing down their opponents.

Goals seem inevitable in this clash, with Villa averaging over two goals per game at home this season. Forest themselves aren't shy in front of goal, especially with Callum Hudson-Odoi finding form. This attacking mindset from both sides should contribute to an entertaining, high-scoring affair where the net bulges multiple times.

The tactical battle between Emery and Nuno Espírito Santo promises to be fascinating, but Villa's superior individual quality should eventually tell. Their fluid attacking patterns and ability to switch play quickly will likely create overloads against Forest's defensive line, creating the space needed to carve out quality scoring opportunities.

With Champions League qualification now a genuine possibility, Villa have everything to play for. This added motivation, combined with their technical superiority and home advantage, makes them strong favourites to secure three points in a match featuring at least three goals. The atmosphere at Villa Park should be electric, pushing the home side toward another crucial victory in their remarkable season.

Marco Asensio has been nothing short of a revelation since his January loan move to Aston Villa. The Spanish international has seamlessly integrated into Unai Emery's system, bringing his trademark technical brilliance and eye for goal to a Villa side pushing for Champions League qualification. His recent form has been particularly eye-catching, with four goals in his last five matches illustrating his growing influence.

What makes Asensio such a dangerous proposition is his positional intelligence. He consistently finds pockets of space between opposition defensive lines, allowing him to receive the ball in dangerous areas where his quick thinking and execution can inflict maximum damage. Against a Nottingham Forest side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities on the road, these qualities could prove decisive.

The statistics support backing Asensio in the goalscorer market. The data shows he's contributed to nine goals in his last seven appearances for Villa, demonstrating exceptional consistency in the final third. His expected goals metrics have also been impressive, indicating this scoring streak is built on sustainable shot quality rather than mere fortune.

Nottingham Forest's approach might inadvertently play into Asensio's hands. If they sit deep and look to counter, as they often do away from home, it will create exactly the kind of congested defensive scenario where Asensio's close control and ability to find shooting angles thrives. His knack for arriving late into the box could also catch Forest's defensive unit unaware.

From a tactical perspective, Emery will likely instruct his team to funnel attacks through the areas where Asensio operates most effectively. The Spaniard's relationship with Villa's fullbacks and central midfielders has grown increasingly synchronized in recent weeks, creating the kind of combination play that's devilishly difficult to defend against.

With his confidence soaring and his understanding with teammates continuing to develop, Asensio represents excellent value in the anytime goalscorer market. His technical quality, current form, and perfect fit within Villa's attacking structure all point toward him finding the net against Forest on Saturday afternoon.