Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

The West London derby sees a Chelsea side riding high on a five-win streak in their last six matches face a Brentford team desperate to end their eight-game winless run at home, with Bryan Mbeumo's scoring form providing a glimmer of hope for the Bees.

Both teams' defensive frailties could prove crucial – Chelsea haven't kept a clean sheet away from home in nine consecutive matches while Brentford have gone four games without shutting out opponents.

All eyes will be on Gtech Community Stadium this Sunday as Brentford vs Chelsea promises goals, with both teams finding the net in three of their last four meetings.

Brentford vs. Chelsea prediction: who will win?

For today's Brentford vs Chelsea matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 77.5% chance of defeating the Bees.

Chelsea: 77.5% win probability

Superior league position (4th place with 52 points compared to Brentford's 12th place)
Better defensive record (37 goals conceded in 30 matches versus Brentford's 47 in 30)
Strong recent form (WLWWL) with 3 wins in their last 5 matches

Brentford: 22.5% win probability

Poor defensive record (47 goals conceded in 30 matches, ranking among the worst in the top half)
Inconsistent recent form (LWLDW) with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches
Significant goal difference disparity (+7 for Chelsea versus +4 for Brentford)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Brentford vs. Chelsea odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between Brentford, who are at home, and Chelsea on Sunday, April 06.

	Brentford	Chelsea	Draw
Match Result	2/1 (via William Hill)	6/5 (via William Hill)	11/4 ( via Betway UK)

Brentford vs. Chelsea preview

Chelsea head to Brentford's patch with their tails up after that gritty 1-0 victory over Spurs, but their woeful away form—just one win in their last nine road games—should give Bees fans some hope.

Thomas Frank's side desperately need to rediscover their early-season home magic, having gone eight matches without a win at the Gtech Community Stadium, though they've faced particularly tough opposition during this barren run.

Bryan Mbeumo looks the likeliest to trouble Chelsea's backline, having netted in consecutive games and boasting an impressive 16 goals in 30 league appearances this term.

The Blues might have kept four clean sheets in their last six games, but they've conceded in nine straight away matches—a defensive frailty Brentford will surely aim to exploit.

Both managers have injury concerns to navigate, with Brentford missing Mathias Jensen and Rico Henry, while Chelsea's Marc Guiu remains doubtful for this West London derby.

Recent history between these sides offers intrigue, with the Bees unbeaten in five against their wealthier neighbors before Chelsea's narrow 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture.

Given Chelsea's dominance in possession during their December clash (62%) but Brentford's strong goalscoring record against them (11 goals in their last 6 meetings), we're likely in for an entertaining, end-to-end affair.

If I'm putting my neck on the line, I'd back Chelsea to edge this one 2-1, but don't be shocked if Brentford's desperation for home comfort sees them nick a point in a thrilling derby.

Brentford vs. Chelsea betting tips

Both Teams To Score (1/2)

Chelsea @ Brentford

Brentford's attack has shown consistent form lately with goals in five of their last six matches.

Chelsea's defensive record on the road has been quite poor since December, failing to keep a clean sheet in nine consecutive away games.

The Blues possess enough attacking quality to trouble Brentford's defence, which has gone four games without a clean sheet.

Recent head-to-head encounters between these sides have featured goals at both ends.

With both teams looking vulnerable at the back but dangerous going forward, goals at both ends seems a logical outcome for Sunday's clash.

Draw 2-2 (11/1)

Chelsea @ Brentford

Both teams enter this fixture in decent overall form despite their respective struggles at home and away.

Last season's meeting at the Gtech Community Stadium ended in an entertaining 2-2 draw.

Over 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in the previous two meetings between these Premier League sides.

At least one team has scored exactly two goals in each of the last four encounters, with Brentford doing so three times and Chelsea twice.

This match has all the ingredients for another high-scoring affair where the teams could ultimately cancel each other out.

Bryan Mbeumo To Score Anytime (21/10)

Chelsea @ Brentford

Bryan Mbeumo has hit a rich vein of form, scoring in his last two consecutive matches.

The Brentford forward netted his team's consolation goal against Newcastle in their previous Premier League outing.

With 16 goals in 30 league appearances this season, Mbeumo has been Brentford's main attacking threat.

Chelsea's defensive frailties away from home could provide the Cameroonian with opportunities to extend his scoring run.

Given his current form and Chelsea's leaky defence, Mbeumo looks a solid bet to find the net on Sunday.

Key stats

1
Chelsea currently sit in 4th position with 52 points while Brentford are 8 places lower in 12th with 41 points
2
Chelsea's recent form (WLWWL) shows inconsistency with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, compared to Brentford's similar pattern (LWLDW)
3
Both teams have identical goal differences (+17 for Chelsea, +4 for Brentford) but Chelsea have scored more (54 vs 51) and conceded fewer goals (37 vs 47)
4
Brentford have lost 13 matches this season compared to Chelsea's 8, suggesting the away side may have an edge in this fixture