Tottenham vs Southampton Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

With Tottenham winless in their last two home league games and Southampton showing signs of life in their 1-1 midweek draw with Crystal Palace, Sunday's clash at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium presents an intriguing matchup despite the gap in league positions.

Ange Postecoglou may rotate his squad with an eye on the upcoming Frankfurt fixture, while the Saints' away record - having lost 12 of their 15 Premier League road games - suggests they face an uphill battle despite finding the net in their last three outings.

The history between these sides favors the hosts with Spurs unbeaten in their last three league encounters against Southampton, including a dominant 5-0 victory in their most recent meeting back in December.

Tottenham vs. Southampton prediction: who will win?

For today's Tottenham vs Southampton matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 81.67% chance of defeating the Saints.

Tottenham: 81.67% win probability

Superior attacking prowess (55 goals scored compared to Southampton's 22)
Better defensive record (44 goals conceded versus Southampton's 71)
Recent upward trend with a win in their last five matches (LLDLW form)

Southampton: 18.33% win probability

League-worst defensive record (71 goals conceded in 30 matches)
Dismal recent form with five consecutive defeats (DLLLL)
Lowest points total in the league (10 points from 30 matches, winning only 2 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Tottenham vs. Southampton odds

Here are the latest odds for this Premier League fixture as Tottenham host Southampton at home this Sunday, April 06.

	Tottenham	Southampton	Draw
Match Result	2/5 (via William Hill)	6/1 (via William Hill)	17/4 ( via Betway UK)

Tottenham vs. Southampton preview

Tottenham desperately need to right the ship as they welcome bottom-dwellers Southampton to North London this Sunday following their disappointing 1-0 defeat to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.

Spurs, who've gone seven matches without a clean sheet, will likely rotate their squad with one eye on next week's European clash against Eintracht Frankfurt, giving youngster Mathys Tel a genuine opportunity to shine after his recent brace for France's U21s.

The Saints finally stopped their dismal six-game losing streak with a midweek draw against Crystal Palace, though they'll feel gutted after conceding a 92nd-minute equalizer.

History favors the home side, with Spurs unbeaten in their last three league meetings against Southampton, including a ruthless 5-0 demolition in their previous encounter where James Maddison bagged a brace.

Despite their recent wobbles, Tottenham have managed three wins from their last five home games, while Southampton's away form has been abysmal with just one victory in their last 15 Premier League road trips.

Brennan Johnson is expected to return to Spurs' starting lineup, offering fresh attacking impetus against a Saints defense that's leaked 31 goals in 15 away fixtures this season.

With Southampton scoring in each of their last three matches but struggling to keep opponents at bay, we could witness action at both ends of the pitch even with Spurs fielding a changed side.

The combination of Tottenham's home advantage against the league's basement club suggests the hosts should ultimately have too much firepower, though don't be shocked if the plucky visitors find the net in what remains a must-win fixture for Postecoglou's men.

Tottenham vs. Southampton betting tips

Tottenham Win & Both Teams To Score (6/4)

Southampton @ Tottenham

Spurs have the quality to overcome Southampton even with some key players potentially rested for their upcoming European fixture.

The Saints have been dire on their travels this season, losing 12 of their 15 Premier League away matches.

Southampton's attack has shown signs of life recently, finding the net in their last three consecutive matches.

Tottenham's defense remains somewhat vulnerable, having kept just one clean sheet in their last five games across all competitions.

The combination of Spurs' superior quality and Southampton's recent scoring form makes this a value bet with solid historical backing.

Tottenham to Win 3-1 (10/1)

Southampton @ Tottenham

Tottenham have demonstrated their attacking prowess in recent victories, scoring at least three goals in four of their last six wins.

Southampton's defensive frailties are evident in their away record, having conceded a whopping 31 goals in just 15 road fixtures.

The Saints have shown enough attacking threat to grab a consolation goal, making the 3-1 scoreline a realistic outcome.

Spurs tend to be more clinical at home where they can capitalize on their superior attacking talent, particularly against struggling sides.

This correct score bet offers excellent value considering the clear attacking and defensive patterns of both teams.

Mathys Tel To Score Anytime (6/4)

Southampton @ Tottenham

The young French forward is seeking to make his mark at Spurs after joining on loan from Bayern Munich.

Tel comes into this fixture with confidence after netting twice for France's Under-21 side during the recent international break.

With Tottenham likely to rotate ahead of their Europa League commitments, Tel could be handed a starting opportunity against Southampton.

The 19-year-old possesses clinical finishing ability and would be eager to impress in what could be a rare starting opportunity.

Southampton's leaky defense provides the perfect opportunity for Tel to open his Premier League account.

Key stats

1
Tottenham sits 16th in the table with 34 points from 30 matches, while Southampton are bottom of the league with just 10 points
2
Southampton have the worst form in the league with five consecutive defeats (LLLLL), while Tottenham have won just once in their last five matches (LLDLW)
3
Both teams have leaky defences - Tottenham have conceded 44 goals while Southampton have the worst defensive record in the league with 71 goals against
4
Despite their low position, Tottenham have scored 55 goals this season (third-highest in the league), while Southampton have managed just 22 goals (the second-lowest tally)