Friday's football action offers a compelling slate of value bets across Europe's top leagues, with exciting Premier League picks standing out amongst a day filled with promising opportunities.
From Burnley's championship dominance at Turf Moor to Valencia's potential 2-1 victory over struggling Sevilla, patterns of both teams scoring and tactical defensive performances are creating clear pathways for shrewd punters.
Our expert analysis reveals several high-value opportunities including RB Leipzig's potential 1-0 away win against goal-shy Wolfsburg, making today's fixtures particularly ripe for strategic wagering.
Premier League betting tips
Game | Time | Pick |
---|---|---|
![]() ![]() | 12:30 PM | Both Teams to Score (6/5)|Over 2.5 Goals (8/13)|Manchester City -1.5 Asian Handicap (4/6) |
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace

Saturday, Apr 12
12:30 PM

Manchester City's Premier League clash with Crystal Palace could well see goals at both ends today. City have been far from watertight at the back this season, conceding in 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. Even in their recent commanding wins, they've struggled to keep clean sheets - a pattern that's becoming a bit of a concern for Pep Guardiola.
Palace might be underdogs, but they've shown they can breach even the strongest defenses. They've found the net in 8 of their last 12 away games, with their counter-attacking style particularly effective against teams that dominate possession. Oliver Glasner has instilled a real threat on the break, with players like Eberechi Eze and Jean-Philippe Mateta capable of punishing any defensive lapses.
The recent history between these sides also points to goals. Four of the last six meetings saw both teams get on the scoresheet, including Palace's shock 2-1 win at the Etihad last season. City may be overwhelming favorites, but Palace have a knack for causing them problems, particularly on the counter.
City's attacking firepower hardly needs mentioning - they've scored in 34 consecutive home league games. While they'll dominate possession and create chances, their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed by Palace's pace and direct approach. The visitors will likely set up to soak up pressure and spring forward when opportunities arise.
The absence of Rodri has left City more vulnerable to quick transitions, something Palace will look to exploit. Though City should have enough quality to win the match, I'm backing both teams to find the net rather than betting on the match outcome. Palace have enough about them to breach City's backline at least once, even as they struggle to contain Haaland and company at the other end.
With City pushing for the title and Palace fighting to secure safety, both sides have plenty to play for. This dynamic usually leads to an open, engaging contest where both teams get on the scoresheet. It's a bet that offers decent value considering City's defensive record and Palace's counter-attacking threat.
Today's Manchester City vs Crystal Palace clash has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair. City are absolutely flying in attack right now, having netted 11 goals in their last three Premier League outings. When you've got Erling Haaland up front alongside Phil Foden and Kevin De Bruyne pulling the strings, goals are practically guaranteed.
Palace might be the underdogs, but they've shown they're no pushovers going forward. Under Oliver Glasner, they've become much more adventurous, scoring in four of their last five away games. Their counter-attacking style could cause problems for a City defense that's looked shaky at times this season, especially with the pace and trickery of players like Eze and Olise.
Historically, these matches haven't been short on entertainment. Five of the last seven meetings between these sides have produced over 2.5 goals, including a 4-2 thriller last season. City's need to keep winning to maintain pressure in the title race means they'll push forward relentlessly, potentially leaving spaces that Palace can exploit.
The Etihad has been a fortress for goals this season, with City averaging nearly three goals per home game. Even against defensive setups, Guardiola's men have found ways to break through. Palace simply don't have the defensive solidity to park the bus for 90 minutes against this kind of firepower.
Another factor pointing to goals is City's recent defensive record. They've kept just two clean sheets in their last nine matches across all competitions. With Rodri's absence disrupting their defensive structure, there's always the chance for opponents to find the net, even as City dominate possession and territory.
The combination of City's attacking prowess, Palace's counter-attacking threat, and both teams having something to play for sets us up perfectly for at least three goals. I'm expecting City to do most of the scoring, but wouldn't be surprised to see Palace contribute to what should be an entertaining affair.
Manchester City should have more than enough quality to overcome Crystal Palace by at least a two-goal margin today. City have hit their stride at the perfect time in the title race, winning their last three league games by scorelines of 4-1, 5-1, and 2-0. They're clicking into top gear exactly when they need to.
Palace have improved under Oliver Glasner, but their away form remains a major concern. They've lost five of their last seven on the road, with four of those defeats coming by margins of two goals or more. Against a City side fighting for the title, they'll struggle to keep things tight for the full 90 minutes.
The gulf in quality between these squads is enormous. While Palace have talented individuals like Eze and Olise, City's world-class stars across every position give them a massive advantage. Haaland is in devastating form with five goals in his last three league appearances, while Foden continues to deliver outstanding performances.
Historically, City have dominated this fixture at the Etihad. They've won five of their last seven home games against Palace, with four of those victories coming by margins that would cover this handicap. Even when Palace have caused upsets, they've typically come at Selhurst Park rather than in Manchester.
Tactically, this match presents a nightmare for Palace. City's possession game will force them to defend deep for long periods, and eventually, the constant pressure usually tells. Once City get their first goal, spaces tend to open up as teams are forced to come out more, which plays perfectly into Guardiola's hands.
With the title race so tight, City know that goal difference could potentially be a factor. They won't just be looking to win - they'll want to win convincingly. Expect them to keep pushing even if they establish an early lead, which makes the -1.5 handicap particularly appealing in this fixture.