Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Fresh off their stunning 3-0 Champions League victory over Real Madrid, Arsenal welcome a resurgent Brentford side that has transformed into road warriors with five wins in their last six away fixtures.

The Gunners' title hopes hang in the balance despite boasting the league's tightest defense, while the Bees' newfound attacking confidence on their travels could pose problems for a potentially complacent Arsenal squad.

All eyes will be on Mikel Merino's goal-scoring streak as Arsenal vs Brentford shapes up to be another fiery London derby at the Emirates.

Arsenal vs. Brentford prediction: who will win?

For today's Arsenal vs Brentford matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners an 80% chance of defeating the Bees.

Arsenal: 80% win probability

Strong league position (2nd place with 62 points from 31 matches)
Formidable defense (Only 26 goals conceded, second-best in the league)
Excellent recent form (DWWDD - unbeaten in last five matches)

Brentford: 20% win probability

Poor away form (Recent form DLWLD shows inconsistency)
Defensive vulnerability (47 goals conceded, significantly more than Arsenal's 26)
Position disparity (12th place with 42 points compared to Arsenal's 2nd place with 62 points)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Arsenal vs. Brentford odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between Arsenal, the home side, and Brentford, taking place on Saturday, April 12.

	Arsenal	Brentford	Draw
Match Result	67/100 (via William Hill)	4/1 (via Betway UK)	16/5 ( via Betway UK)

Arsenal vs. Brentford preview

Arsenal face another must-win situation against local rivals Brentford this Saturday evening as they aim to keep their title hopes alive despite trailing Liverpool by 11 points in the Premier League standings.

The Gunners come into this London derby buzzing after a stunning 3-0 Champions League victory against Real Madrid, where Declan Rice scored twice and Mikel Merino continued his impressive goalscoring form at the Emirates.

Brentford's recent away form suggests they won't be pushovers – they've won five of their last six league matches on the road after a dreadful start to their away campaign.

Arsenal's defensive record is the best in the Premier League, but their 11 draws this season have cost them dearly in the title race.

The injury list remains a concern for Mikel Arteta with Havertz, Gabriel, Jesus, and Calafiori sidelined, though the return of Bukayo Saka from his long-term injury provides a significant boost.

Thomas Frank's Bees will likely fancy their chances of scoring, having found the net in six of their nine away fixtures during their early-season struggles, but Arsenal have been dominant in recent head-to-head meetings, winning five of their last six clashes.

Mikel Merino could be the one to watch – the Spanish midfielder has now scored in three consecutive home matches and appears to be thriving in a more advanced role for the Gunners.

While Arsenal should have enough quality to secure three points, don't be surprised if Brentford make this London derby more competitive than the form book might suggest.

Arsenal vs. Brentford betting tips

Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score (9/4)

Brentford @ Arsenal

Arsenal enter this fixture with momentum after their impressive victory against Real Madrid in midweek.

The Gunners have been dominant at the Emirates this season, turning their home ground into a fortress under Mikel Arteta.

Brentford, despite being underdogs, have shown they possess the attacking quality to trouble even the strongest defenses in the league.

The Bees have found the net consistently on their travels, with goals in most of their away fixtures this campaign.

Arsenal should have enough firepower to secure three points, but keeping a clean sheet might prove challenging against a Brentford side that rarely fails to score.

Arsenal to Win 3-1 (12/1)

Brentford @ Arsenal

Arsenal's attacking prowess has been on full display throughout the season, particularly at the Emirates where they've regularly put teams to the sword.

Brentford's recent away form suggests this could be a high-scoring affair, with the majority of their last 14 road fixtures featuring at least three goals.

The Gunners' defensive solidity has improved under Arteta, but they still occasionally show vulnerability that Brentford could exploit.

Thomas Frank's side have demonstrated they can be dangerous on counter-attacks and set-pieces, likely giving them opportunities to score.

Arsenal's superior quality should ultimately shine through for a comfortable 3-1 victory despite Brentford posing threats.

Mikel Merino to Score Anytime (21/10)

Brentford @ Arsenal

Mikel Merino has been thriving in his more advanced role within Arteta's tactical setup at Arsenal.

The Spanish midfielder has shown excellent timing with his runs into the box, becoming a genuine goal threat for the Gunners.

Merino comes into this fixture having scored in his last three consecutive home matches, demonstrating remarkable consistency.

His height advantage makes him particularly dangerous from set-pieces, an area where Brentford have shown vulnerability this season.

With Arsenal likely to dominate possession, Merino should find himself in promising positions to continue his impressive scoring run.

Key stats

1
Arsenal sit 2nd in the table with 62 points from 31 matches, 11 points behind leaders Liverpool
2
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 5 matches with a recent form of DWWDD, showing steady consistency
3
Brentford are 12th in the table with 42 points, 20 points behind Arsenal, highlighting the gap in quality
4
Arsenal have a strong defensive record with only 26 goals conceded compared to Brentford's 47 goals against