Premier League Betting Tips & Expert Advice for Saturday 12th April

Crystal Palace head to the Etihad this weekend with an impressive unbeaten away record that stretches back to October in the Premier League. That's not a fluke either – the Eagles have been flying under Oliver Glasner, losing just two of their last 17 competitive matches since Christmas. Their transformation has been remarkable, and they're no longer the pushovers many expected them to be earlier in the season.

Man City, meanwhile, look a bit wobbly at the moment. They've won just four of their last nine matches across all competitions, suggesting Pep's men are feeling the strain of fighting on multiple fronts. Their usually impeccable home form has shown cracks too, with that recent 2-2 draw against Brighton highlighting vulnerabilities that weren't present earlier in the campaign.

The head-to-head record offers further encouragement for Palace backers. City have failed to beat the Eagles in four of their last seven encounters, including those back-to-back 2-2 draws at Selhurst Park earlier this season and at the Etihad last year. There's something about Palace's counter-attacking style that gives City's backline headaches.

Jean-Philippe Mateta could be the key man for Palace on Saturday. The Frenchman has been in blistering form with nine goals in his last ten Premier League appearances and opened the scoring against Brighton last weekend. His pace and power offer the perfect outlet for Palace's counter-attacks, which could prove deadly against City's high line.

With City potentially having one eye on their upcoming Champions League clash, this looks like the perfect opportunity for Palace to snatch something from this game. The Eagles' solid defensive organization combined with their current form makes the double chance bet particularly appealing, especially at those odds. Don't be surprised if Glasner's men frustrate the champions and come away with a point – or possibly more.

City's recent defensive frailties coupled with Palace's newfound confidence under Glasner creates the perfect storm for an upset. The value here is tremendous, and while City are still favorites on paper, all the underlying metrics suggest Palace have a genuine shot at getting something from this game.

Leicester City's Premier League nightmare continues as they head to the Amex Stadium on Saturday in absolutely dreadful form. The Foxes are currently enduring an eight-match losing streak in the league, and more worryingly, they haven't scored a single goal during this dismal run. It's a shocking collapse for a team that started the season with such promise after promotion.

Brighton haven't exactly been setting the world alight recently, but the Seagulls will view this as the perfect opportunity to get back on track. Their home form offers plenty of encouragement, with four wins from their last seven matches at the Amex. Roberto De Zerbi's men tend to dominate possession, which should prove particularly effective against a Leicester side desperately low on confidence.

The visitors look completely bereft of attacking ideas. Their forward line has dried up completely, and they're creating very few meaningful chances. What started as a blip has turned into a full-blown crisis, with relegation now looking increasingly likely for Steve Cooper's men. With key attacking threats misfiring and confidence at rock bottom, it's hard to see where Leicester's next goal is coming from.

Brighton's ability to control games at home, combined with their technical superiority, should allow them to dominate this match from start to finish. While they've had their own inconsistencies, they remain a coherent unit with a clear playing identity – something Leicester seem to have completely lost in recent weeks.

Having kept clean sheets against Chelsea and Southampton at home in February, Brighton have shown they can shut out opponents when required. Against a Leicester side that's firing blanks, this looks like the perfect opportunity for another shutout. The Seagulls should have enough quality to break down Leicester's defense while keeping things tight at the back.

With Leicester seemingly resigned to their fate and Brighton desperate to finish the season strongly, this looks like one of the most predictable matches of the weekend. The Seagulls to win without conceding represents excellent value given the Foxes' current goalscoring drought and overall terrible form.

Southampton host Aston Villa in what should be an intriguing clash at St Mary's this weekend. The Saints may be struggling at the bottom of the table, but they've shown they can find the net against quality opposition, having scored against Liverpool, Chelsea and Newcastle at home this term. Russell Martin's side plays an attractive brand of football that creates chances, even if their defensive frailties have ultimately been their undoing this season.

Aston Villa arrive on the south coast with Champions League football very much on their minds. Unai Emery's men face a quick turnaround with their rematch against PSG coming up next week, which could influence team selection for this Premier League fixture. While Villa have been in tremendous form, winning seven of their last eight matches, their defensive record on their travels leaves something to be desired - they've conceded in all four visits to bottom-five sides this season.

Both teams have compelling reasons to go for goals in this one. Southampton are desperately fighting for survival and know that draws alone won't be enough at this stage - they need wins. Villa, meanwhile, will be keen to maintain momentum ahead of their European adventures but might rest key defensive personnel, potentially leaving gaps at the back that the Saints can exploit.

Recent form points strongly toward goals at both ends. BTTS has landed in each of Southampton's last four matches, highlighting both their ability to score and their vulnerability defensively. For Villa, their attacking prowess is undeniable, but they've kept just one clean sheet in their last five Premier League away games, suggesting opportunities will be there for the hosts.

The personnel on display also points toward goals. Southampton's attacking players like Adams and Armstrong have shown they can trouble even the most organized defenses, while Villa's attacking depth means they carry threat even if Emery rotates his squad. With Marco Asensio potentially starting after scoring eight times in his last nine matches, Villa's firepower remains significant regardless of who starts.

With Southampton's desperate need for points forcing them to attack and Villa's slight defensive vulnerability away from home, both teams finding the net looks one of the safest bets of the weekend. The price of 7/10 represents solid value for what appears to be an almost inevitable outcome based on both teams' recent performances and the context surrounding the match.

Arsenal return to Premier League action riding high after their midweek triumph over Real Madrid in the Champions League. The Gunners have been absolutely formidable at the Emirates this season, turning their home ground into a proper fortress where few teams escape unscathed. Their front line is firing on all cylinders, and the confidence flowing through Mikel Arteta's side is palpable.

However, Brentford shouldn't be underestimated despite Arsenal's excellent form. The Bees have shown repeatedly this season that they can find the net against even the strongest opponents. Thomas Frank's side possesses significant attacking threat through players like Mbeumo and Wissa, who can punish any momentary defensive lapses. Their set-piece prowess remains among the best in the league as well.

Recent history suggests goals could be on the menu from both sides. All but three of Brentford's last 14 away league games have featured at least three goals, indicating their matches tend to be open affairs regardless of venue. While Arsenal should have enough quality to secure all three points, their defense isn't impenetrable, and the quick turnaround from their midweek European exertions could leave them vulnerable to lapses in concentration.

Mikel Merino's emergence in a more advanced role adds another dimension to Arsenal's attack. The Spanish midfielder has been flourishing under Arteta's guidance and has found the net in his last three home games. His ability to arrive late in the box and finish clinically gives Arsenal yet another weapon in their already impressive offensive arsenal.

The Gunners' title aspirations mean they simply can't afford to drop points here, especially with their rivals breathing down their necks. Expect Arsenal to come flying out of the blocks, looking to establish an early advantage. But Brentford's counter-attacking capabilities and aerial threat mean they'll likely create opportunities of their own throughout the 90 minutes.

All things considered, Arsenal should have enough quality to secure the win, but Brentford have the tools to breach their defense at least once. The home win with both teams scoring offers excellent value and reflects the most likely outcome of what promises to be an entertaining affair at the Emirates.