Newcastle vs Manchester Utd Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Eddie Howe's Newcastle side enter this Premier League clash riding high on a four-match winning streak, having dismantled Leicester City 3-0 in their previous outing with Jacob Murphy and Harvey Barnes finding the net.

The Magpies enjoy a psychological edge over Rúben Amorim's Red Devils, having won four of their last six encounters including a commanding 2-0 victory in their most recent meeting, while United haven't beaten Newcastle away in their last three visits.

All eyes will be on St. James' Park this Sunday as the in-form home team looks to continue their push for a top-four finish against an away team struggling for consistency in mid-table.

Newcastle vs. Manchester Utd prediction: who will win?

For today's Newcastle vs Manchester Utd matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 82.5% chance of defeating the Red Devils.

Newcastle: 82.5% win probability

Excellent recent form (WWWLW) with four wins in their last five matches
Potent attacking record with 52 goals scored in 30 matches (1.73 goals per game)
Solid defensive unit conceding only 39 goals in 30 matches (1.3 per game)

Manchester Utd: 17.5% win probability

Poor recent form (DLWDW) with only one win in their last five matches
Struggling attack with only 37 goals scored in 31 matches (1.19 goals per game)
Inconsistent results with 10 losses and 8 draws from 31 matches played

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Newcastle vs. Manchester Utd odds

Here are the latest odds for Premier League's Sunday fixture on April 13, where Newcastle will host Manchester Utd at St James' Park.

	Newcastle	Manchester Utd	Draw
Match Result	13/20 (via William Hill)	4/1 (via William Hill)	3/1 ( via William Hill)

Newcastle vs. Manchester Utd preview

Newcastle United are red-hot heading into this weekend's clash with Manchester United, having racked up four consecutive victories including that impressive 3-0 dismantling of Leicester City where Jacob Murphy bagged a quick-fire double.

The Magpies have dominated recent meetings against the Red Devils, winning four of their last six encounters including a comfortable 2-0 victory in their previous Premier League matchup.

Eddie Howe's men look formidable at St. James' Park, where they're unbeaten in their last two league matches, while Man United have failed to win in their last three away trips to Newcastle.

Ruben Amorim's side come into this one after a goalless draw in the Manchester derby and a 2-2 European stalemate with Lyon, leaving them languishing in mid-table with seemingly little to play for.

Both teams have injury concerns—Newcastle missing Botman, Lascelles and Hall, while United are without Evans, Heaven, Diallo and Martínez.

The return of Anthony Gordon to Newcastle's starting lineup could prove decisive, giving the hosts additional firepower alongside the in-form Alexander Isak.

Man United will be boosted by Kobbie Mainoo's recovery from injury, but they'll face a tough task breaking down a Newcastle defense that's conceded just six goals in their last six outings.

Given Newcastle's superb form and home advantage, coupled with United's recent struggles on Tyneside, Howe's men look well-positioned to continue their winning streak in what should be a captivating Premier League encounter.

Newcastle vs. Manchester United betting tips

Newcastle To Win (7/5)

Manchester United @ Newcastle

Newcastle enter this fixture in tremendous form, seeking their fifth consecutive victory across all competitions.

The Magpies dismantled Manchester United 2-0 at Old Trafford earlier this season and look primed to complete the double.

United's domestic form has been underwhelming, with the Red Devils failing to score in their last two Premier League outings.

Erik ten Hag's men might be distracted by their Europa League commitments, potentially prioritizing continental success.

St James' Park has become a fortress again under Eddie Howe, giving Newcastle a significant home advantage for this crucial encounter.

Newcastle Win To Nil (23/10)

Manchester United @ Newcastle

The Magpies have kept clean sheets in each of their last eight victories against Manchester United.

Ten Hag's squad has struggled for goals lately, drawing blanks in their previous two league fixtures.

Newcastle's defensive unit looks increasingly solid, with Fabian Schar and Dan Burn forming a formidable partnership at the back.

Manchester United's attacking woes have been exacerbated by inconsistent performances from Rashford and others this season.

The hosts' pragmatic approach under Eddie Howe makes them particularly dangerous when they can take the lead and manage the game.

Harvey Barnes To Score Anytime (12/5)

Manchester United @ Newcastle

Barnes has been in prolific form, netting six goals in just nine Premier League starts this campaign.

The former Leicester winger comes into this match with confidence after scoring against his old club in Newcastle's last outing.

Barnes will be motivated to cement his place in the starting lineup with Anthony Gordon nearing a return to full fitness.

Manchester United's defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed repeatedly throughout this inconsistent season.

The winger's direct running and clinical finishing could prove decisive against a United backline that has looked shaky in recent weeks.

Correct Score: Newcastle 2-0 (9/1)

Manchester United @ Newcastle

This exact scoreline was achieved by Newcastle in their victory at Old Trafford earlier this season.

United's scoring drought in recent league games suggests they may struggle to break down Newcastle's resolute defence.

The Magpies have been efficient rather than spectacular in recent weeks, often doing just enough to secure three points.

Eddie Howe's tactical approach typically focuses on defensive solidity before unleashing counter-attacks through Barnes and Isak.

St James' Park will create an intimidating atmosphere that could further hamper United's confidence in front of goal.

Key stats

1
Newcastle (7th) are currently positioned one place higher than Manchester United (13th), with a 15-point advantage
2
Newcastle have won their last 4 out of 5 matches (WWWLW), while Manchester United's form has been inconsistent (DLWDW)
3
Newcastle boast a superior goal difference of +13 compared to Manchester United's -4
4
Newcastle have scored 52 goals this season, 11 more than Manchester United's 41, while conceding only 2 more goals