Everton vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Manchester City's defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed as they travel to face an improving Everton side that has lost just one of their last 12 Premier League matches.

David Moyes has transformed the Toffees into a resilient unit, taking points off several top sides and remaining unbeaten at Goodison Park since early February.

With City struggling to keep clean sheets recently and showing cracks in their high defensive line, Everton could be well-positioned to extend their impressive run of form in what promises to be a compelling contest.

Everton vs. Manchester City prediction: who will win?

For today's Everton vs Manchester City matchup, our predictive model gives City a 75% chance of defeating the Toffees.

Manchester City: 75% win probability

Potent attack (62 goals scored this season, 5th highest in the league)
Strong goal differential (+20, significantly better than Everton's -4)
Consistent point-gathering (55 points from 32 matches, placing them 5th in the table)

Everton: 25% win probability

Struggling offense (only 34 goals scored, 5th lowest in the league)
Poor home form (recent form shows WDLDD with many dropped points)
Difficulty securing victories (only 8 wins from 32 matches, compared to City's 16)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Everton vs. Manchester City odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between Everton and Manchester City, as the Citizens travel to face the Toffees at Goodison Park on Saturday, April 19.

	Everton	Manchester City	Draw
Match Result	29/10 (via William Hill)	1/1 (via Betway UK)	5/2 ( via William Hill)

Everton vs. Manchester City preview

Everton's remarkable resilience under David Moyes faces its sternest test yet as Manchester City visit Goodison Park this weekend, with the Toffees having lost just once in their last 12 Premier League outings despite struggling to convert draws into wins.

The Citizens arrive showing uncharacteristic defensive vulnerability, conceding early against Crystal Palace last weekend before mounting an impressive comeback spearheaded by Kevin De Bruyne - though their high defensive line continues to present opportunities for opponents.

Iliman Ndiaye remains Everton's greatest threat with seven Premier League goals this season, while City must cope without several key players including Erling Haaland, Rodri and Ederson.

Moyes has transformed Everton into a defensively stubborn outfit, taking points from Liverpool, Manchester United and Arsenal in recent months, before securing a morale-boosting 1-0 victory over Nottingham Forest last time out.

History weighs heavily against the hosts, who haven't beaten City in their previous 15 league encounters, yet their defensive solidity under Moyes suggests they could frustrate Guardiola's injury-depleted squad.

With five of Everton's last seven league games ending in draws and City keeping just one clean sheet in their last seven outings, this battle between Merseyside grit and Manchester flair could prove far tighter than the form book suggests.

Everton vs. Manchester City betting tips

Everton Double Chance (Win or Draw) (20/23)

Manchester City @ Everton

Manchester City have shown vulnerability despite their recent 5-2 win against Crystal Palace where they needed to recover from a two-goal deficit.

Everton have demonstrated remarkable resilience under David Moyes, suffering just three league defeats since he took charge.

The Toffees' home advantage at Goodison Park could prove significant against a City side that hasn't been at their imperious best lately.

City's packed fixture schedule may impact their performance, potentially creating an opportunity for Everton to capitalize.

The value in this market reflects Everton's improved defensive organization, making them capable of frustrating Guardiola's attack-minded squad.

Draw 1-1 (13/2)

Manchester City @ Everton

Four of Everton's last six matches have ended in 1-1 draws, establishing a clear pattern in their recent results.

Manchester City's current form suggests they're still finding their rhythm, making them susceptible to dropping points against organized opposition.

Everton's defensive approach under Moyes typically aims to frustrate elite teams rather than outscoring them.

The Toffees will likely set up with a compact defensive structure while looking to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities.

This scoreline represents the perfect balance between City's attacking quality and Everton's newfound defensive resilience.

Iliman Ndiaye To Score Anytime (4/1)

Manchester City @ Everton

Iliman Ndiaye has been Everton's most prolific attacking threat this season with seven Premier League goals to his name.

His penalty-taking responsibilities add significant value to this bet, providing a potential route to goal regardless of open play dynamics.

Manchester City have conceded in multiple recent fixtures, suggesting opportunities will arise for Everton's primary goal threat.

Ndiaye's movement and finishing ability make him Everton's most likely candidate to capitalize on any defensive lapses from City.

At the offered odds, this represents strong value considering his importance to Everton's attacking output and set-piece duties.

Key stats

1
Manchester City sit 5th in the table with 55 points from 32 matches, 21 points behind league leaders Liverpool
2
Everton have drawn more matches (14) than any other team in the Premier League this season
3
Man City's recent form shows inconsistency (WDWDL) while Everton have been hard to beat lately (WDLDD)
4
The goal difference tells a clear story: City (+20) have been much more clinical than Everton (-4) despite being just 17 points apart