West Ham vs Southampton Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

West Ham United look to overcome their recent defensive struggles when they host relegation-confirmed Southampton at the London Stadium this weekend.

The Hammers, winless in their last two home league matches, will fancy their chances against a Saints side that has conceded 16 goals in their last six games and picked up just five points on their travels all season.

With Jarrod Bowen leading the attack and Southampton still showing some attacking threat despite their confirmed drop, fans could be in for an entertaining contest with goals at both ends.

West Ham vs. Southampton prediction: who will win?

For today's West Ham vs Southampton matchup, our predictive model gives the Hammers a 75% chance of defeating the Saints.

West Ham: 75% win probability

Superior offensive capability (36 goals scored compared to Southampton's 23)
Better defensive record (54 goals conceded versus Southampton's 77)
Higher points tally (35 points from 9 wins and 8 draws, compared to Southampton's 10 points)

Southampton: 25% win probability

Poor recent form (LLDLL in their last five matches)
Weakest defensive record in the league (77 goals conceded in 32 matches)
Lowest win rate in the league (only 2 wins from 32 matches played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

West Ham vs. Southampton odds

Here are the latest odds as West Ham hosts Southampton in Premier League action on Saturday, April 19.

	West Ham	Southampton	Draw
Match Result	53/100 (via William Hill)	11/2 (via Betway UK)	333/100 ( via Betway UK)

West Ham vs. Southampton preview

West Ham will be desperate to snap their winless streak at home when they host relegation-confirmed Southampton at the London Stadium this weekend.

The Hammers showed fighting spirit in their narrow 2-1 defeat to Liverpool last time out, while Southampton's woes deepened after being dismantled 3-0 by Aston Villa - their 26th defeat of a disastrous campaign.

Graham Potter faces selection headaches with Michail Antonio's broken leg adding to injuries for Aaron Cresswell and summer signing Crysencio Summerville.

Despite their struggles, West Ham have historically matched up well against the Saints, having gone unbeaten in their last three league encounters, including a 1-0 victory at St Mary's earlier this season courtesy of Jarrod Bowen.

Southampton's defensive frailties have been brutally exposed all season, shipping 16 goals in their last six matches, though they had found the net in four consecutive games before drawing a blank against Villa.

In-form Bowen looks the most likely to capitalize on the visitors' porous defense, having already notched eight Premier League goals this term while leading the Hammers' attack.

West Ham vs. Southampton betting tips

West Ham to Win & Both Teams to Score (11/5)

Southampton @ West Ham

West Ham should have enough quality to secure victory against relegation-threatened Southampton at the London Stadium this weekend.

The Saints have shown some attacking promise recently, finding the net in four of their last five fixtures despite their lowly position.

Graham Potter's appointment hasn't transformed West Ham's fortunes completely, but they possess sufficient firepower to outscore the visitors.

Southampton's leaky defense has been their undoing this season, yet they've managed to score consolation goals even in defeat.

The value proposition here comes from combining a likely West Ham win with Southampton's recent scoring form, offering a more attractive price than a straight home win.

West Ham to Win 3-1 (12/1)

Southampton @ West Ham

Southampton have twice suffered 3-1 defeats since February, showing a particular vulnerability to this exact scoreline.

West Ham, despite their inconsistent form, have the attacking weapons in Bowen, Paquetá and Kudus to punish Southampton's defensive frailties.

The Saints have shown they can typically grab a goal but rarely keep opposition attacks at bay for 90 minutes.

This correct score prediction aligns with the both teams to score analysis while offering substantial value at 12/1 odds.

With West Ham playing at home and Southampton fighting relegation, we can expect the Hammers to push forward aggressively while leaving some spaces that Southampton can exploit once.

Jarrod Bowen to Score Anytime (11/8)

Southampton @ West Ham

Bowen remains West Ham's most consistent goal threat with eight Premier League goals this season despite the team's underwhelming campaign.

The dynamic forward has proven himself as a reliable scorer against teams in the bottom half of the table.

Southampton's defensive record is among the worst in the league, creating ample opportunities for a player of Bowen's caliber.

While not enjoying his most prolific season, Bowen's movement and finishing ability make him the most likely candidate to find the net for the Hammers.

At odds of 11/8, there's solid value in backing West Ham's top scorer to add to his tally against one of the league's most vulnerable defenses.

Key stats

1
West Ham sits 17th in the table with just 35 points after 32 matches, hovering dangerously close to relegation territory.
2
Southampton is rooted to the bottom of the table with only 10 points, having lost 26 of their 32 matches this season.
3
The Saints have the worst defensive record in the league, conceding 77 goals while scoring just 23 - a -54 goal difference.
4
West Ham's recent form (LDLDL) shows they've won just once in their last five matches, while Southampton (LLDLL) have taken just one point from their last five games.