Leicester vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Liverpool's title hopes continue as they face a Leicester City side desperate to break a dismal home record that has seen them lose eight consecutive league matches without scoring a single goal.

The Foxes finally ended their seven-game scoring drought in last week's 2-2 draw with Brighton, but face a formidable Liverpool team who can move closer to Premier League glory with three points at the King Power Stadium.

With Luis Diaz in scintillating form—scoring four goals in his last five appearances—the Reds are looking to capitalize on Leicester's defensive frailties while potentially moving one step closer to being crowned champions.

Leicester vs. Liverpool prediction: who will win?

For today's Leicester vs Liverpool matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 85% chance of defeating the Foxes.

Liverpool: 85% win probability

Dominant league position (Top of the table with 76 points from 32 matches)
Exceptional attacking threat (74 goals scored, the highest in the league)
Outstanding recent form (Won 4 of their last 5 matches - WLWWW)

Leicester: 15% win probability

Struggling defensively (72 goals conceded, second-worst in the league)
Poor overall form (DLLLL, lost 4 of their last 5 matches)
Relegation position (19th in the table with just 4 wins from 32 matches)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Leicester vs. Liverpool odds

Here are the current odds as Leicester hosts Liverpool in Premier League action on Sunday, April 20.

	Leicester	Liverpool	Draw
Match Result	10/1 (via William Hill)	11/50 (via Betway UK)	11/2 ( via William Hill)

Leicester vs. Liverpool preview

Liverpool's title quest continues at the King Power Stadium where they face a Leicester City side in freefall, having lost eight consecutive home games without scoring a single goal.

The Foxes briefly ended their scoring drought in a 2-2 draw at Brighton last weekend, but their league position looks increasingly desperate after failing to secure a home win in their last nine attempts.

Luis Díaz arrives in red-hot form with four goals in his last five appearances, posing a significant threat to a Leicester defense that has been routinely dismantled on home soil.

The reverse fixture saw Liverpool comfortably handle Leicester 3-1, and Arne Slot's men will be eyeing another comprehensive victory despite some recent inconsistency in their performances.

While the Reds need an unlikely Ipswich win over Arsenal to confirm the title this weekend, they'll be focused on maintaining their advantage at the summit against a Leicester side that has conceded multiple goals in each of their recent home defeats.

Ruud van Nistelrooy faces selection headaches with Fatawu and Souttar sidelined, while Liverpool will be without Tyler Morton and Joe Gomez for a clash that could further cement the contrasting trajectories of these two clubs.

Leicester vs. Liverpool betting tips

Liverpool -2 Handicap (15/8)

Liverpool @ Leicester

Leicester City's form has completely collapsed with nine defeats in their last ten games across all competitions.

The Foxes' home record looks particularly dire, having lost each of their last eight matches at the King Power by at least two goals.

Their defensive frailties have been brutally exposed in recent weeks, with their last three home defeats all coming by margins of three or more goals.

Liverpool, still in the hunt for Premier League glory, have every motivation to secure a commanding victory as they close in on being confirmed as champions.

The quality gap between these sides is substantial, and Jurgen Klopp's men should have little trouble covering the -2 handicap against a Leicester side that looks resigned to relegation.

Luis Diaz To Score Anytime (13/8)

Liverpool @ Leicester

Luis Diaz has emerged as Liverpool's form player in attack, netting four goals in his last five appearances for club and country.

The Colombian winger has found his rhythm at the perfect time as Liverpool push for the Premier League title in the season's final stretch.

Diaz's direct running and improved finishing make him a constant threat against a Leicester defense that has been leaking goals at an alarming rate.

The Foxes have conceded at least three goals in three of their last seven games, providing ample scoring opportunities for Liverpool's attackers.

With Mohamed Salah not scoring as freely in recent weeks, Diaz has stepped up to shoulder more of the attacking burden and looks well-positioned to continue his scoring run.

Wilfred Ndidi to be shown a card (2/1)

Liverpool @ Leicester

Wilfred Ndidi has accumulated seven bookings across all competitions this season, making him one of Leicester's most cautioned players.

The Nigerian midfielder has been shown three yellow cards in his last six appearances, indicating a recent trend of disciplinary issues.

Against Liverpool's dynamic midfield featuring the likes of Mac Allister and Szoboszlai, Ndidi will be under significant pressure to break up play and halt counter-attacks.

The desperation of Leicester's relegation battle adds another layer of intensity that could lead to more rash challenges from their defensive midfielder.

With Liverpool likely to dominate possession and force Leicester into defensive positions, Ndidi will be constantly engaged in the type of tackles that attract the referee's attention.

Key stats

1
Liverpool sits firmly in 1st place with 76 points from 32 matches, winning 23 games while losing just 2.
2
Leicester occupies 19th position with only 18 points, having lost 22 of their 32 matches this season.
3
Liverpool has scored 74 goals while conceding 31, giving them a +43 goal difference—one of the best in the league.
4
Liverpool enters on strong form (WLWWW) while Leicester has struggled consistently (DLLLL), highlighting the massive form disparity between the sides.