Southampton vs Fulham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Southampton will look to claim their first home victory in 12 league matches when they welcome a faltering Fulham side to St Mary's on Saturday.

The relegated Saints showed fighting spirit in their 1-1 draw against West Ham last weekend, with Lesley Ugochukwu's 93rd-minute equalizer giving them hope of avoiding the unwanted record of matching Derby County's lowest Premier League points tally.

Marco Silva's Cottagers arrive low on confidence after losing four of their last five matches, including a devastating late collapse against Chelsea where they conceded twice in the final minutes to lose 2-1.

Southampton vs. Fulham prediction: who will win?

For today's Southampton vs Fulham matchup, our predictive model gives the Cottagers an 80% chance of defeating the Saints.

Fulham: 80% win probability

Solid mid-table stability (48 points, 9th place)
Balanced attack and defense (48 goals scored, 45 conceded)
Recent momentum with 3 wins in last 5 matches (LLWLW form)

Southampton: 20% win probability

Bottom of the table position (20th with only 11 points from 33 matches)
Poorest defensive record in the league (78 goals conceded)
Inability to secure wins (only 2 victories all season, worst in the league)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Southampton vs. Fulham odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League match between Southampton (home) and Fulham set for Saturday, April 26.

	Southampton	Fulham	Draw
Match Result	4/1 (via William Hill)	31/50 (via Betway UK)	16/5 ( via Betway UK)

Southampton vs. Fulham preview

Southampton will be fighting for pride this weekend after securing a dramatic last-minute equalizer against West Ham last time out, giving the already-relegated Saints rare cause for celebration in what has been a dismal campaign.

Fulham arrive at St. Mary's nursing wounds of their own after a heartbreaking 2-1 defeat to Chelsea, where they led until the 83rd minute before conceding twice late on – their fourth loss in five matches.

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Southampton conceding in their last six matches and Fulham shipping goals in five of their last six, suggesting this could be an open affair despite December's goalless draw at Craven Cottage.

Alex Iwobi continues to be Fulham's bright spark with nine Premier League goals this season, including strikes against both Liverpool and Chelsea recently.

The Saints, desperate to avoid matching Derby County's record-low 11-point season, have shown signs of life by taking points from Crystal Palace and West Ham this month and will sense an opportunity against a Fulham side whose season appears to be petering out.

Simon Rusk must contend with several absences including Ryan Fraser and Albert Grønbæk, while Marco Silva's only major concern is Reiss Nelson, though Rodrigo Muniz and Emile Smith Rowe could return to bolster the visitors' attack.

Southampton vs. Fulham betting tips

Southampton Double Chance (Win or Draw) (13/10)

Fulham @ Southampton

Southampton have shown resilience at home recently, taking valuable points off Crystal Palace and West Ham this month.

The Saints will be desperate for points in their relegation battle, giving them extra motivation against mid-table Fulham.

Despite their position at the bottom of the table, Southampton have been more competitive at St Mary's Stadium than their overall record suggests.

Fulham's away form has been inconsistent this season, making them vulnerable against teams fighting for Premier League survival.

With the home crowd behind them, Southampton have a genuine chance to avoid defeat in what could be a crucial fixture for their survival hopes.

Draw 1-1 Correct Score (13/2)

Fulham @ Southampton

Both teams have found the net in five of Southampton's last six matches, indicating their games tend to see goals at both ends.

Fulham have settled into mid-table security and may lack the intensity that Southampton will bring to this crucial relegation battle.

The Cottagers have shown a tendency to draw games when facing motivated opposition away from Craven Cottage.

Southampton's defensive frailties combined with their need to push forward could create a balanced contest.

A 1-1 scoreline represents good value as both teams have the firepower to score but may ultimately cancel each other out.

Alex Iwobi To Score Anytime (21/10)

Fulham @ Southampton

Alex Iwobi has been in excellent form this season, already netting nine Premier League goals for Fulham.

The Nigerian international has thrived under Marco Silva's system which gives him freedom to make late runs into the box.

Southampton's defense has been one of the most porous in the league, conceding 67 goals in their Premier League campaign.

Iwobi's intelligent positioning and improved finishing make him a constant threat against struggling defenses.

With Southampton likely to commit men forward in search of crucial points, spaces could open up for Iwobi to exploit and find the net.

Key stats

1
Southampton sit rock bottom of the table with just 11 points from 33 matches, winning only twice all season.
2
Fulham occupy 9th place with 48 points and have won 13 games compared to Southampton's 2.
3
The goal difference disparity is massive: Southampton at -54 (24 scored, 78 conceded) vs Fulham at +3 (48 scored, 45 conceded).
4
Southampton's recent form (DLLDL) shows they've earned just 2 points from their last 5 matches, while Fulham (LLWLW) have taken 6 points in the same span.